Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Risk Analysis in Investment Appraisal

Savvides, Savvakis C. (1994): Risk Analysis in Investment Appraisal. Published in: Project Appraisal , Vol. Volume, No. 1 (March 1994): pp. 3-18.

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Abstract

The methodology and uses of Monte-Carlo simulation technique are presented as applied to the analysis and assessment of risk in the evaluation of investment projects. The importance of risk analysis in investment appraisal is highlighted and the stages in the process introduced. The results generated by a risk analysis application are interpreted, including the investment decision criteria and measures of risk based on the expected value concept. Conclusions are drawn regarding the usefulness and limitations of risk analysis in investment appraisal.

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