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A note on competing economic theories on the 2007-2008+ financial crisis: The case for (hidden) stagflation

Colignatus, Thomas (2008): A note on competing economic theories on the 2007-2008+ financial crisis: The case for (hidden) stagflation. Unpublished.

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Abstract

The financial crisis that erupted in 2007, continues in 2008 and likely continues longer, is in need for explanation by economic theory. The monetary authorities and financial regulators provide us with piecemeal engineering on the fly but there is a lack of overview. The lack of convincing theory and strategy becomes especially worrying when we see the crisis affecting the real economy. People and economic activities that already suffer are not well-represented in national statistics, which provides newspapers with a rosy picture as if the current crisis only affects the financial sector and not the real economy. When the crisis starts to bite those who are in the statistics then the financial crisis will become recognized for the economic crisis that it is, but apparently with little guidance from economic theory on how to solve it. The time honoured solution is to have the poor and powerless work harder and earn less to solve the problems of the rich and powerful. But economic theory can do better. The paper compares various competing economic theories and suggests that economists study a particular theory that apparently hasn’t had sufficient attention yet. The current financial crisis finds a fundamental cause in stagflation. This stagflation originally was open but was later hidden by financial deregulation and innovation. By tackling stagflation the financial crisis would become manageable. A suggestion on how to tackle stagflation is provided by Colignatus (2005), "Definition & Reality in the General Theory of Political Economy", Dutch University Press

Item Type:MPRA Paper
Language:English
Keywords:financial crisis, economic crisis, stagflation, inflation, unemployment, Phillipscurve, taxes
Subjects:E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E0 - General
A - General Economics and Teaching > A1 - General Economics
P - Economic Systems > P1 - Capitalist Systems > P16 - Political Economy
ID Code:10831
Deposited By:Thomas Colignatus
Deposited On:30. Sep 2008 04:06
Last Modified:30. Sep 2008 04:06
References:

EWP references are to the Economics Working Papers Archive at the Washington University at St. Louis: http://econwpa.wustl.edu. See also http://www.dataweb.nl/~cool.

Note: Colignatus is the name of Thomas Cool in science. Some archives may not recognize that name.

Colignatus (1990), “After 20 years of mass unemployment; Why we might wish for a parliamentary inquiry”, Central Planning Bureau III/90/38, The Hague. Ecozoek 1991 and included in Colignatus (1992)

Colignatus (1992), “Definition and Reality in the general theory of political economy; Some background papers 1989-1992”, Magnana Mu Publishing and Research, Rotterdam

Colignatus (1994), “Tax structure, inflation and unemployment”, Magnana Mu Publishing and Research

Colignatus (2005), “Definition & Reality in the General Theory of Political Economy”, 2nd edition, Dutch University Press

Colignatus (2005a), “A better way to account for fiat money at the Central Bank”, http://econpapers.repec.org/paper/wpawuwpgt/0512014.htm

Colignatus (2007), “A logic of exceptions”, http://www.dataweb.nl/~cool/Papers/ALOE/Index.html

Gill, R.D (2008), “Thomas Colignatus. A Logic of Exceptions: Using the Economics Pack Applications of Mathematica for Elementary Logic”, Book Review Section, Nieuw Archief voor Wiskunde, NAW 5/9 nr. 3 September, p217-219, see http://www.math.leidenuniv.nl/~gill/#cool or http://www.math.leidenuniv.nl/~naw/index.php?taal=1

Leijonhufvud, A. (2008), “Keynes and the Crisis”, CEPR Policy Insight No. 23, May 13, http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/1139

McCloskey, D.N. (1990), “If You're So Smart. The Narrative of Economic Expertise”, Chicago

Pollock, D.S.G. and N. Letta (2001), “Deconstructing the Consumption Function: New Tools and Old Problems”, mimeo University of London and GREQAM

The Economist (2008), “The financial crisis. What next?”, editorial and other articles, September 20

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