Economic Impact of the Mid-Term Review on Agricultural Production, Farm Income and Farm Survival: A Quantitative Analysis for Local Sub-Regions of Schleswig-Holstein in Germany

Henningsen, Arne; Henning, Christian H.C.A.; Struve, Carsten and Müller-Scheeßel, Jörg (2005): Economic Impact of the Mid-Term Review on Agricultural Production, Farm Income and Farm Survival: A Quantitative Analysis for Local Sub-Regions of Schleswig-Holstein in Germany. Published in: Modelling Agricultural Policies: State of the Art and New Challanges, editor: Filippo Arfini, publisher: Monte Università, Parma (2005): pp. 757-772.

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of the Mid-Term Review (MTR) on the agricultural sector in Schleswig-Holstein, a federal state in Germany. First, a very detailed farm group linear programming model is built to quantify the effects on agricultural production and farm incomes. The production adjustment to the MTR and its impact on farm profit vary significantly between individual farms. These results depend mainly on the farm type and the resource endowments of the farms. Second, the impact on structural change is examined with a farm survival model. Although the MTR clearly reduces the incomes of several farm types, it accelerates the structural change only gradually.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Institution: Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Kiel
• Language: English
• Keywords: policy reform; modeling production adjustment; farm income; structural change
• Subjects: Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q1 - Agriculture > Q18 - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q1 - Agriculture > Q12 - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q1 - Agriculture > Q11 - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices

References

Berkelaar, M. and Buttrey, S. (2004). lpSolve, version 1.0.1. R package, http://cran.r-project.org.

Berkelaar, M., Eikland, K., and Notebaert, P. (2003). lp_solve, version 4.0. http://groups.yahoo.com/group/lp_solve/.

Henning, C. H. C. A., Henningsen, A., Struve, C., and Müller-Scheeßel, J. (2004). Auswirkungen der Mid-Term-Review-Beschlüsse auf den Agrarsektor und das Agribusiness in Schleswig-Holstein und Mecklenburg-Vorpommern. Agrarwirtschaft, Sonderheft 178.

Henningsen, A. (2003). linprog, version 0.5. R package, http://cran.r-project.org.

Isermeyer, F. (2003). Umsetzung des Luxemburger Beschlusses zur EU-Agrarreform in Deutschland - eine erste Einschätzung. Institut für Betriebswirtschaft, Agrarstruktur und ländliche Räume, Arbeitsbericht 03/2003.

Landwirtschaftlicher Buchführungsverband (2002a). Betriebszweigabrechnung 2001/2002.

Landwirtschaftlicher Buchführungsverband (2002b). Wirtschaftsergebnisse 2001/2002.

Lewin-Koh, N. J. and Bivand, R. (2004). maptools, version 0.4-3. R package, http://cran.r-project.org.

R Development Core Team (2004). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria, http://www.r-project.org.

Stabler, B. (2003). shapefiles, version 0.3. R package, http://cran.r-project.org.

Tietje, H. (2004). Hofnachfolge in Schleswig-Holstein. PhD thesis, University of Kiel.