Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Une explication des motivations rationnelles de la Chine au surendettement de l'économie américaine.

Jambu, Marc-Antoine (2009): Une explication des motivations rationnelles de la Chine au surendettement de l'économie américaine.

[img]
Preview
PDF
MPRA_paper_14460.pdf

Download (526Kb) | Preview

Abstract

The current financial and economic crisis is not du to the Dollar paradox. That's why the growing "Global Imbalances" remains an interesting issue. By mixing theories from the litterature of Foreign Direct Investment in China and the Collateral theory developped in [Dooley, Folkerts-Landau, Garber, (2004)], webuild a model which give an explanation of the American Tresory Bonds reserve held by the Chinese Central Bank. We show that the Chinese governement doesn't really need to worry about the solvability of the American economy. Moreover Chinese governement has rational intensives for american overindebtness. The main limit of this strategy consist in less human capital accumulation expectations from the FDI positive externalities. Besides we show how inflation pressures, du to incomplete sterilisation of the chinese monetary policy, can be moderate by positive productivity and quality shocks. To finish we conclude that Chinese governement has no insentive to protect intellectual property rights, whereas WTO commitments have to be assumed.

UB_LMU-Logo
MPRA is a RePEc service hosted by
the Munich University Library in Germany.