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Адекватность закрытой модели для российской экономики в задаче сравнительного анализа Энергетической стратегии России

Bazhanov, Andrei and Belyaev, Alexander (2009): Адекватность закрытой модели для российской экономики в задаче сравнительного анализа Энергетической стратегии России.

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Abstract

We compare the short- and the long-run consequences of Russia's Energy Strategy to 2020 and of the project of the Strategy to 2030 with a hypothetical scenario of the weak-sustainable oil extraction, starting from 2008 and providing asymptotically constant per capita consumption in the long run. The problem was examined by Andreeva, Bazhanov (2007) and Bazhanov, Tyukhov (2008) for the closed Dasgupta-Heal-Solow-Stiglitz model. In this paper, we show that the open-economy assumptions do not change the qualitative results of comparative analysis, which are not in favor of the Strategy in the long run.

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