Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Predicting the price index for jewelry and jewelry products: 2009 to 2016

Kitov, Ivan (2009): Predicting the price index for jewelry and jewelry products: 2009 to 2016.

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Abstract

It was demonstrated that jewelry and jewelry products price can be predicted at a several year horizon. The prediction consists of three steps. First, we show that the difference between producer price index and the index for jewelry and jewelry products is characterized by the presence of sustainable mid-term trends. Second, the evolution of the difference is predicted at a five to ten-year horizon. Considering the PPI to be practically constant over the next decade, the above difference provides a direct prediction of the price index for jewelry and jewelry products.

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