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Measuring Weak Sustainability for the future: Calculating Genuine Saving with population change by an integrated assessment model

Koji, Tokimatsu and Takanobu, Kosugi and Atsushi, Kurosawa and Norihiro, Itsubo and Masaji, Sakagami (2009): Measuring Weak Sustainability for the future: Calculating Genuine Saving with population change by an integrated assessment model.

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Abstract

This paper presents a future figure of Genuine Saving with population growth (GSn). This was enabled by using an integrated assessment model, similar to the RICE model by Nordhaus. The model consists of sub-models that evaluate various kinds of mineral resources and environmental impacts. Results indicates that GSn is positive i) in OECD during the 21st century, ii) in World and the former Soviet Union and East Europe after 2030, and iii) in Asia and the Middle East and Africa after 2050. GSn is negative in Latin America during the 21st century.

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