Haider, Adnan and Khan, Safdar Ullah (2007): Does Volatility in Government Borrowing Leads to Higher Inflation? Evidence from Pakistan. Published in: Journal of Applied Economic Sciences , Vol. 2008, No. 5 (4. July 2008): pp. 187-202.
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This study analyzes the impact of volatility in government borrowing from central bank (GBCB) on domestic inflation in Pakistan. This paper utilizes Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Hetroskedasticity (GARCH) model to estimate volatility in GBCB using monthly data from July 1992 to June 2007. The empirical results, based on auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) with bound testing technique suggest that domestic inflation in Pakistan is related with volatility in government borrowing from central bank in the long run. Furthermore, error correction model (ECM) estimates show that in the short run, inflation is also affected by volatility in GBCB.
|Item Type:||MPRA Paper|
|Original Title:||Does Volatility in Government Borrowing Leads to Higher Inflation? Evidence from Pakistan|
|Keywords:||inflation, government borrowing, volatility, GARCH, ARDL, ECM|
|Subjects:||E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, and General Outlook > E62 - Fiscal Policy
E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, Macroeconomic Policy, and General Outlook > E60 - General
|Depositing User:||Adnan Haider Adnan|
|Date Deposited:||29. Aug 2009 23:56|
|Last Modified:||12. Feb 2013 09:42|
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