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Testing the Equilibrium Exchange Rate Model - Updated

Guilherme, Moura and Sergio, Da Silva (2006): Testing the Equilibrium Exchange Rate Model - Updated. Forthcoming in: Finance Letters

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Abstract

We find favorable evidence for the textbook equilibrium exchange rate model of Stockman (1987) using Blanchard and Quah’s (1989) decomposition. Real shocks are shown to account for more than 90 percent of movements in the real exchange rate between Brazil and the US, and for more than half of nominal exchange rate changes. Impulse response functions also suggest that real shocks alter these countries’relative prices.

Item Type:MPRA Paper
Institution:Federal University of Santa Catarina/Kiel University
Language:English
Keywords:Equilibrium Exchange Rate Model; Blanchard and Quah’s Decomposition
Subjects:F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F41 - Open Economy Macroeconomics
F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange
F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F47 - Forecasting and Simulation
F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F37 - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation
ID Code:1871
Deposited By:Sergio Da Silva
Deposited On:22. Feb 2007
Last Modified:07. Nov 2007 02:04
References:

Blanchard, O.J. and D. Quah (1989) The dynamics effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances, American Economic Review, 79, 655-673. Available at http://www.nber.org/papers/w2737.pdf.

Clarida, R. and J. Gali (1994) Sources of real exchange rate fluctuations: how important are nominal shocks? NBER Working Paper, 4658.

Da Silva, S. (2002) Classroom guide to the equilibrium exchange rate model, Economic Issues, 7, 1-10. Available at http://econwpa.wustl.edu/eps/if/papers/0405/0405019.pdf.

Enders, W. and B.S. Lee (1997) Accounting for real and nominal exchange rate movements in the post-Bretton Woods period, Journal of International Money and Finance, 16, 233-254.

Evans, M.D.D. and J.R. Lothian (1993) The response of exchange rates to permanent and transitory shocks under floating exchange rates, Journal of International Money and Finance, 12, 563-586.

Peron, P. (1997) Further evidence on breaking trends functions in macroeconomic variables, Journal of Econometrics, 80, 355-385.

Stockman, A.C. (1980) A theory of exchange rate determination, Journal of Political Economy, 88, 673-698.

Stockman, A.C. (1987) The equilibrium approach to exchange rates, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Economic Review, 73, 12-30. Available at http://www.rich.frb.org/publications/economic_research/economic_review/ pdfs/er730202.pdf.

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