dong, congcong (2006): 世界经济长波导论:对危机与萧条的研究及预测. Unpublished.
![[img]](http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/style/images/fileicons/application_pdf.png)
| PDF - Requires a PDF viewer such as GSview, Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader 393Kb |
As is considered in this paper，none of the ever existing long wave theories can totally describe or correctly explain the chronic fluctuating characters of the capitalist world economy system since the year 1857. Based on Karl Marx’s greatest work “Capital” and combined with considerable quantities of historical materials such as all kinds of writings about economic long wave both at home and abroad，the paper analyzes four inherently identical waves，tries to draw a fluctuating graph of the world economy with the wavelength supposed to be 50 years，and then forecasts the future of the world.
| Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
|---|---|
| Original Title: | 世界经济长波导论:对危机与萧条的研究及预测 |
| Language: | Chinese |
| Keywords: | economic crisis; long wave; forecasting |
| Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E37 - Forecasting and Simulation E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations; Cycles E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E17 - Forecasting and Simulation E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E11 - Marxian; Sraffian; Institutional; Evolutionary |
| ID Code: | 2106 |
| Deposited By: | congcong dong |
| Deposited On: | 09. Mar 2007 |
| Last Modified: | 07. Nov 2007 02:13 |
All papers reproduced by permission. Reproduction and distribution subject to the approval of the copyright owners.
Repository Staff Only: item control page
