Sinha, Dipendra and Sinha, Tapen (2007): Relationships among Household Saving, Public Saving, Corporate Saving and Economic Growth in India. Unpublished.
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This paper examines the relationship between the growth rates of household saving, public saving, corporate saving and economic growth in India using multivariate Granger causality tests. The conventional wisdom suggests that the causality flows from saving to economic growth. We show that the causality goes in the opposite direction for India. Hence, higher saving is the consequence of higher economic growth and not a cause.
| Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
|---|---|
| Institution: | Ritsumeikan Asia Pacific University, Japan and Macquarie University, Australia and ITAM, Mexico |
| Language: | English |
| Keywords: | Economic growth; public saving; corporate saving; household saving |
| Subjects: | O - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O11 - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment > E21 - Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Aggregate Physical and Financial Consumer Wealth O - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O16 - Economic Development: Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance |
| ID Code: | 2597 |
| Deposited By: | Dipendra Sinha |
| Deposited On: | 06. Apr 2007 |
| Last Modified: | 07. Nov 2007 02:35 |
| References: | Alguacil M, Cuadros A and Orts V. 2004. Does saving really matter for growth? Mexico (1970-2000). Journal of International Development 16(2): 281-290. Economic Survey of India. 2006. (http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2005-06/esmain.htm) The Economist. 2006. Business in India: Can India fly? Print Edition, June 1 (Special Section). Granger CWJ. 1969. Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross spectral methods. Econometrica 37(3):424-438. International Monetary Fund. 2006. International Financial Statistics, Online version, July. Kwiatkowski D, Phillips PCB, Schmidt P and Shin Y. 1992. Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root? Journal of Econometrics 54(1-3):159-178. Nabeya S, Tanaka K. 1988. Asymptotic theory of a test for the constancy of regression coefficients against the random walk alternative. Annals of Statistics 16(1):218-235. Sinha D. 1996. Saving and economic growth in India. Economia Internazionale 49(4): 37-647. Sinha D, Sinha T. 1998. Cart before the horse? The saving-growth nexus in Mexico. Economics Letters 61(1):43-47. Sinha D. 1998-1999. The role of saving in Pakistan’s economic growth. Journal of Applied Business Research 15(1), 79-85. Sinha D. 1999. Saving and economic growth in Sri Lanka. Indian Journal of Applied Economics 8(3):163-174. Sinha D. 2000. Tests of Granger causality between saving and economic growth in the Philippines. Journal of Social and Economic Development 3(3): 200-207. Solow RM. 1956. A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics 70(1): 65-94. |
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