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Parametrii macroeconomici în derivă

Georgescu, George (2005): Parametrii macroeconomici în derivă. Published in: Revista Bilant No. 13 (25. October 2005): pp. 15-19.

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Abstract

The paper updates a warning launched by the author a year earlier regarding the effects of Inward/Outward Processing Trade flows, already entered a marginal decrease path. The high volatility of these flows, totally escaping the perception of decision makers, is threatening Romania’s appropriate management of the financial framework sustainability on medium and long term. In the first half of 2005, the economic parameters deteriorated in real terms more than shows the official data, as concerns net exports contribution to GDP, trade and current account balance, leading to the increase in external debt, which are endangering also the country risk rating, implicitly the costs of external borrowing in order to cover the rising financial gap.

Item Type:MPRA Paper
English Title:Economic Parameters Turn Adrift
Language:Romanian
Keywords:Inward Processing Trade, Balance of Payments, Current Account, External debt, Economic Growth, Country Risk
Subjects:F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F34 - International Lending and Debt Problems
F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F32 - Current Account Adjustment; Short-Term Capital Movements
G - Financial Economics > G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance > G38 - Government Policy and Regulation
F - International Economics > F2 - International Factor Movements and International Business > F21 - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment > E20 - General
ID Code:26319
Deposited By:George Georgescu
Deposited On:31. Oct 2010 14:46
Last Modified:31. Oct 2010 14:46
References:

Banca Naţională a României (2005), Balanţa de plăţi şi poziţia investiţională internaţională a României în 2004, Bucureşti.

Banca Naţională a României (2005), Balanţa de plăţi în semestrul I 2005, Comunicat de presă, 24 august.

Georgescu G. (2003), Inward Processing Trade and the Romanian Foreign Trade, Romanian Journal for Economic Forecasting, No. 4, Bucharest.

Georgescu G. (2005), Marele pericol care planează asupra economiei. Deficitul de cont curent la cota de alarmă, Revista Bilanţ, No 4, Bucureşti, Ianuarie.

Guvernul României (2005), Strategia Naţională de Export 2005-2009, Bucureşti.

Institutul Naţional de Statistică (2005), Comerţul exterior al României în perioada 1.I-30.VI 2005, Comunicat de presă Nr. 36, 27 iulie.

Standard and Poor’s (2005), Investment grade for Romania upgraded to BBB, September 6.

Zaman Gh., Vasile V. (coordonatori) (2004), Repere ale evoluţiei structurale ale exportului românesc în condiţiile integrării şi globalizării economice, Editura Expert, Bucureşti.

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