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Modelling catastrophic risk in international equity markets: An extreme value approach

Cotter, John (2006): Modelling catastrophic risk in international equity markets: An extreme value approach. Published in: Applied Financial Economic Letters , Vol. 2, (2006)

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Abstract

This letter uses the Block Maxima Extreme Value approach to quantify catastrophic risk in international equity markets. Risk measures are generated from a set threshold of the distribution of returns that avoids the pitfall of using absolute returns for markets exhibiting diverging levels of risk. From an application to leading markets, the letter finds that the Nikkei is more prone to catastrophic risk than the FTSE and Dow Jones Indexes.

Item Type:MPRA Paper
Language:English
Subjects:G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G15 - International Financial Markets
G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G10 - General
ID Code:3507
Deposited By:John Cotter
Deposited On:13. Jun 2007
Last Modified:07. Nov 2007 03:14
References:

Cotter, J. (2005) Tail Behaviour Of The Euro, Applied Economics, 37, 1 –14. Cotter, J. (2004a) Extreme Risk in Futures Contracts, Applied Economic Letters, Forthcoming. Cotter, J. (2004b) Downside Risk For European Equity Markets, Applied Financial Economics, 14, 707-716. Cotter, J. and D.G. McKillop (2000) The Distributional Characteristics of a Selection of Contracts Traded on the London International Financial Futures Exchange, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 27, 487-510. Dewachter, H. and G. Gielens (1999) Setting Futures Margins: The Extremes Approach, Applied Financial Economics, 9, 173-181. Embrechts, P., Klüppelberg, C., and T. Mikosch (1997) Modelling Extremal Events for Insurance and Finance, Springer-Verlag, Berlin. Kindleberger C. P. (2000) Manias, Panics and Crashes, 4th Edition, Wiley, New York. Longin, F.M (2000) From value at risk to stress testing: The extreme value approach, Journal of Banking and Finance, 24, 1097-1130.

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