Cotter, John and Hanly, James (2005): Re-evaluating Hedging Performance. Unpublished.
| PDF - Requires a PDF viewer such as GSview, Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader 267Kb |
Mixed results have been documented for the performance of hedging strategies using futures. This paper reinvestigates this issue using an extensive set of performance evaluation metrics across seven international markets. We compare the hedging performance of short and long hedgers using traditional variance based approaches together with modern risk management techniques including Value at Risk, Conditional Value at Risk and approaches based on Downside Risk. Our findings indicate that using these metrics to evaluate hedging performance, yields differences in terms of best hedging strategy as compared with the traditional variance measure. We also find significant differences in performance between short and long hedgers. These results are observed both in-sample and out-of-sample.
| Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
|---|---|
| Language: | English |
| Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G15 - International Financial Markets G - Financial Economics > G0 - General |
| ID Code: | 3523 |
| Deposited By: | John Cotter |
| Deposited On: | 12. Jun 2007 |
| Last Modified: | 07. Nov 2007 03:15 |
| References: | Baillie, R.T., & Myers, R.J. (1991). Bivariate GARCH estimation of the optimal futures hedge. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 6, 109 – 124. Bawa, S. (1975). Optimal rules for ordering uncertain prospects. Journal of Financial Economics, 2, 95-121. Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31, 307-327. Bollerslev, T. (1990). Modeling the coherence in short-run nominal exchange rates: A multivariate generalized ARCH model. Review of Economics and Statistics, 72, 498–505. Bollerslev, T., Engle, R.F., & Wooldridge, J.M. (1988). A capital asset pricing model with time-varying covariances. Journal of Political Economy, 96, 116 - 131. Brooks, C., & Chong, J. (2001). The cross-currency hedging performance of implied versus statistical forecasting models. Journal of Futures Markets, 21, 1043-1069. Brooks, C., Henry, O.T., & Persand, G. (2002). The effects of asymmetries on optimal hedge ratios. Journal of Business, 75, 333 – 352. Cecchetti, S.G., Cumby, R.E., & Figlewski, S. (1988). Estimation of the optimal futures hedge. Review of Economics and Statistics, 70, 623 – 630. 24 Choudhry, T. (2003). Short run deviations and optimal hedge ratios: Evidence from stock futures. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 13, 171 – 192. Conrad, J., Gultekin, M., & Kaul, G. (1991). Asymmetric predictability of conditional variances. Review of Financial Studies, 4, 597-622. Demirer, R., & Lien, D. (2003). Downside risk for short and long hedgers. International Review of Economics and Finance, 12, 25 – 44. Demirer, R., Lien, D., & Shaffer, D. (2005). Comparisons of short and long hedge performance: The case of Taiwan. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 15, 51-66. Ederington, L. (1979). The hedging performance of the new futures markets. Journal of Finance, 34, 157 – 170. Efron, B. (1979). Bootstrap methods: Another look at the Jack-knife. The Annals of Statistics, 7, 1–26. Engle, R., & Kroner, K. (1995). Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory, 11, 122-150. Fishburn, P. (1977). Mean-risk analysis with risk associated with below-target returns. The American Economic Review, 67, 116–126. 25 Kroner, K.F., & Sultan, J. (1993). Time varying distribution and dynamic hedging with foreign currency futures. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 28, 535-551. Lien, D., & Tse, Y.K. (2002). Some recent developments in futures hedging. Journal of Economic Surveys, 16, 357 – 396. Lien, D., Tse, Y.K., & Tsui, A.K. (2002). Evaluating the hedging performance of the constantcorrelation GARCH model. Applied Financial Economics, 12, 791 - 798. Park, T.H., & Switzer, L.N. (1995). Bivariate GARCH estimation of the optimal hedge ratios for stock index futures: A note. Journal of Futures Markets, 15, 61 - 67. Roy, A. (1952). Safety first and the holding of assets. Econometrica, 20, 431-449. Tasche, D. (2002). Expected shortfall and beyond. Journal of Banking and Finance, 26, 1519- 1533. |
All papers reproduced by permission. Reproduction and distribution subject to the approval of the copyright owners.
Repository Staff Only: item control page