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Adopción de metas de inflación y su impacto en las expectativas de inflación y volatilidad del crecimiento económico: evidencia empírica para Bolivia

Valdivia, Daney and Loayza, Lilian (2010): Adopción de metas de inflación y su impacto en las expectativas de inflación y volatilidad del crecimiento económico: evidencia empírica para Bolivia.

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Abstract

Introduction of inflation targeting has global effects on dynamic of prices and economic growth. In case of a developing country with an increasing remonetization since 2007 – 2008 and modest growing later than 2009 it’s important to assess the adoption of a new regime and how it helps to both control inflation dynamics and expectations; and how it stabilize the business cycle of economic growth. In order to assess inflation targeting we use the methodology applied by Vega and Winkelried (2006). Results have shown that in case of the Bolivian economy the adoption of the regime is significant. In this sense, implementation of inflation targeting reduces monthly inflation expectations, -7.33% and its structural component in -1.02%. At the same time, the variance of output reduces -1.2%.

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