Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Estimação da matriz insumo-produto utilizando dados preliminares das contas nacionais: aplicação e análise de indicadores econômicos para o Brasil em 2005

Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins and Sesso Filho, Umberto Antonio (2010): Estimação da matriz insumo-produto utilizando dados preliminares das contas nacionais: aplicação e análise de indicadores econômicos para o Brasil em 2005.

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Abstract

The current study aims to evaluate the methodology of Input-Output matrices estimation, at basic prices, based on preliminary data from the Brazil’s National Accounts. The same is tested for the year 2005, and the results obtained from input-output matrix (final version), available in IBGE site, and the matrix estimated buy this method are compared. The results of the analysis consist of employment and production multipliers and interrelated sectors rates from Rasmussen-Hirschman, economic indicators based on the theory of input-output. It follows that the series of economic indicators of the matrix and the matrix released by the IBGE are no different, based on statistical analysis (correlation coefficients). Therefore, the proposed methodology can be used for the estimation of national input-output matrices for periods when there are only preliminary data. The structural analyzes performed with the economy estimated matrices are valid for the year under review.

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