Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Impacts of Changes In Regional Sugar and Ethanol Exports Upon Brazilian Overall Economy

Burnquist, H. L. and Costa, C. C. and Guilhoto, J. J. M. (2004): Impacts of Changes In Regional Sugar and Ethanol Exports Upon Brazilian Overall Economy.

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Abstract

This paper estimates the impact of an increase in Brazilian sugar and ethanol demand for exports upon the countries’ overall production and employment. The impacts were simulated considering each of the major cane producing areas of the country (Center-South and North-Northeast). An inter-regional input-output matrix for the Brazilian economy was used for that purpose. It was observed that a demand shock, resulting from an expansion of sugar exports presented an impact of greater magnitude upon the countries’ production and employment when compared to the impact from an increase in ethanol. In addition, the results indicated that when the impact is generated at the North-Northeastern Brazil, production and employment is more affected than when it begins at the Center-South region of the country. The result of how the economic benefits are propagated, is important to identify policies and establish targets for regional production.

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