Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Assessing the Impact of Deterrence on Road Safety due to the Demerit Point System

Chandler, Vincent (2012): Assessing the Impact of Deterrence on Road Safety due to the Demerit Point System.

[img]
Preview
PDF
MPRA_paper_39439.pdf

Download (223Kb) | Preview

Abstract

This paper assesses the impact of a decrease in demerit points on the probability of traffic violation. To address the inherent heterogeneity of drivers, I use the expiration process of points to compare the behaviour of similar drivers with different demerit points. I find that a 3-point decrease in the number of demerit points only has an impact for drivers close to the limit, but increases their probability of violation by 50 to 80 percent.

UB_LMU-Logo
MPRA is a RePEc service hosted by
the Munich University Library in Germany.