Robinson, Sherman and Willenbockel, Dirk and Ahmed, Hashim and Dorosh, Paul (2010): Implications of food production and price shocks for household welfare in Ethiopia: a general equilibrium analysis.
Download (1MB) | Preview
This paper examines recent movements in domestic cereal prices in Ethiopia in light of world price movements and production trends, and then uses a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to assess the effects of various types of shocks on prices, incomes and food consumption, particularly for poor households. Several basic scenarios are considered, including the implications of drought-induced livestock and crop production shortfalls in various regions of Ethiopia, world price increases and additional food aid inflows.
|Item Type:||MPRA Paper|
|Original Title:||Implications of food production and price shocks for household welfare in Ethiopia: a general equilibrium analysis|
|Keywords:||Food prices; drought; food aid; applied general equilibrium analysis|
|Subjects:||O - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O13 - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Products
D - Microeconomics > D5 - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium > D58 - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q54 - Climate; Natural Disasters; Global Warming
|Depositing User:||Dirk Willenbockel|
|Date Deposited:||19. Jun 2012 01:05|
|Last Modified:||12. Feb 2013 12:06|
Ahmed, Hashim, Tewodros Tebekew, Ayanaw Amoge, Birouke Teferra, Zenasellase Seyoum, Mezgebu Amha, Habekristors Beyene, Elias Fisseha, Eyasu Tsehaye, Sherman Robinson, Dirk Willenbockel, Paul Dorosh and Scott McDonald. 2010. A Regionalized Social Accounting Matrix for Ethiopia, 2005/06: Data Sources and Compilation Process, Addis Ababa: Ethiopian Development Research Institute.
Dervis, Kemal., Jaime de Melo, and Sherman Robinson. 1982. General Equilibrium Models for Development Policy. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Dorosh, Paul and Hashim Ahmed. 2009. “Foreign Exchange Rationing, Wheat Markets and Food Security in Ethiopia”. ESSP2 Discussion Paper No. 4. Addis Ababa: IFPRI.
Dorosh, Paul, Sherman Robinson and Hashim Ahmed. 2009. “Economic Implications of Foreign Exchange Rationing in Ethiopia”. ESSP2 Discussion Paper No. 9. Addis Ababa: IFPRI.
Lofgren, Hans, Rebecca Lee Harris, and Sherman Robinson. 2001. A Standard Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model in GAMS. IFPRI TMD Discussion Paper No. 75.
Rashid, Shahidur, Meron Assefa and Gezahegn Ayele. 2008. “Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Ethiopia” (Chapter 8) in Kym Anderson and William Masters (eds.). Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Africa, pp. 231-52. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.