Holz, Carsten A (2013): Monthly industrial output in China since 1983.
Download (1239Kb) | Preview
Monthly economic indicators are used for a variety of purposes, from studying business cycles to determining economic policy and making informed business decisions. China’s published monthly industrial output statistics could hardly be more confusing, with changes in variables, in coverage, in measurement, and in presentation. This paper reviews the available official data and proceeds to construct a monthly industrial output series in nominal terms and in real terms for the period since May 1983, economy-wide and for the state sector.
|Item Type:||MPRA Paper|
|Original Title:||Monthly industrial output in China since 1983|
|Keywords:||China industrial output, industrial growth, monthly industry data, public sector industrial output, Chinese statistics|
|Subjects:||C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C4 - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics > C43 - Index Numbers and Aggregation
E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E0 - General > E01 - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C8 - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs > C80 - General
|Depositing User:||Carsten Holz|
|Date Deposited:||18. Jan 2013 16:45|
|Last Modified:||14. Feb 2013 06:07|
CEIC. CEIC China Premium Database. http://www.ceicdata.com/China.html (by subscription only).
Economic Census 2004. Zhongguo jingji pucha nianjian—2004 (China Economic Census Yearbook—2004). Four volumes. Beijing: Zhongguo tongji chubanshe, (May) 2006.
Holz, Carsten A., and Yi-min Lin. "Pitfalls of China's Industrial Statistics: Inconsistencies and Specification Problems." The China Review 1, no. 1 (Fall 2001): 29-71.
Holz, Carsten A. “China’s Reform Period Economic Growth: How Reliable Are Angus Maddison’s Estimates? Review of Income and Wealth 52, no. 1 (March 2006a): 85-119.
Holz, Carsten A. “China’s Reform Period Economic Growth: How Reliable Are Angus Maddison’s Estimates? Response to Angus Maddison’s Reply.” Review of Income and Wealth 52, no. 3 (Sept. 2006b): 471-5.
Holz, Carsten A. “Chinese Statistics: Classification Systems and Data Sources .” Mimeo, Stanford Center for International Development, Stanford University, January 2013a.
Holz, Carsten A. “Measuring Productivity Change in China, 1952-2010.” Mimeo, Stanford Center for International Development, Stanford University, 2013b.
Industrial Yearbook. Zhongguo gongye jingji tongji nianjian (China Industrial Economy Statistical Yearbook). Beijing: Zhongguo tongji chubanshe, various years.
Maddison, Angus. Chinese Economic Performance in the Long Run. Paris: Development Centre of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, 1998.
Maddison, Angus. “Do Official Statistics Exaggerate China’s GDP Growth? A Reply to Carsten Holz.” Review of Income and Wealth 52, no. 1 (March 2006): 121-6.
Orlik, Tom. Understanding China’s Economic Indicators: Translating the Data into Investment Opportunities. Upper Sddle River, New Jersey: FT Press Science, 2012.
Seventeen Years. Gaige kaifang shiqi nian de zhongguo diqu jingji (China’s Regional Economy in Seventeen Years of Reform and Opening). Beijing: Zhongguo tongji chubanshe, 1996.
Statistical Yearbook. Zhongguo tongji nianjian (China Statistical Yearbook). Beijing: Zhongguo tongji chubanshe, various years.
Wu, Harry X. “The Real Chinese Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the Pre-Reform Period 1952-77.” Review of Income and Wealth 39, no. 1 (March 1993): 63-87.
Wu, Harry X. “How Fast Has Chinese Industry Grown?—Measuring the Real Output of Chinese Industry, 1949-97.” Review of Income and Wealth 48, no. 2 (June 2002): 179-204.