Logo
Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Early Warning System: An Assessment of Vulnerability

Reinhart, Carmen and Goldstein, Morris and Kaminsky, Graciela (2000): Early Warning System: An Assessment of Vulnerability. Published in: Assessing Financial Vulnerability: An Early Warning System for Emerging Markets, Institute for International Economics (2000)

This is the latest version of this item.

[thumbnail of MPRA_paper_24579.pdf]
Preview
PDF
MPRA_paper_24579.pdf

Download (191kB) | Preview

Abstract

Predicting the timing of currency and banking crises is likely to remain an elusive task for academics, financial market participants, and policymakers. Few foresaw the Asian crises and fewer still could have imagined their severity. However, recent events have highlighted the importance of improving upon a system of “early warnings.” The signals approach introduced in Kaminsky and Reinhart (1996) and applied to the out-of-sample data during January 1996- June 1997 in this section we illustrate how this approach can ne applied to glean where trouble spots may be brewing.

Available Versions of this Item

Atom RSS 1.0 RSS 2.0

Contact us: mpra@ub.uni-muenchen.de

This repository has been built using EPrints software.

MPRA is a RePEc service hosted by Logo of the University Library LMU Munich.