Blanchard, Michel and Bernard, philippe (2013): The performance of mutual funds on French stock market:Do star funds’ managers exist or do funds have to hire chimpanzees?
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Abstract
We test here the kahneman (kahneman 2011) results about fund managers: that is, do managers are really skilled or could any chimpanzee do the job? Moreover, the recent stormy period should enlighten us about the interest to invest in mutual funds: do they over perform the market? Do they smooth the losses? Do they have well managed the alternative bearish and bullish periods of the markets? Few recent studies focus on the French Stock market. In this paper, we investigate the performance, persistence and behavior of mutual funds only investing in the Paris stock exchange market from 2000 to 2012. We find that funds clearly over-perform the market on average but only on a 60 months investment horizon. Average annual excess is close to zero (+0.3%) for funds which were active over all the period. Yet, some have salient good (bad) relative performances. The challenge is then to distinguish skill from luck since funds can have extreme returns by luck. Our approach is to test for persistence in fund returns, that is, whether past winners continue to produce high returns and losers continue to underperform. Then, we apply the Carhart 1997 4-factors model, in order to evaluate the weight of the systematic drivers of the performance.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | The performance of mutual funds on French stock market:Do star funds’ managers exist or do funds have to hire chimpanzees? |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Mutual funds performances, overperformance, fund managers skills |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G11 - Portfolio Choice ; Investment Decisions |
Item ID: | 46896 |
Depositing User: | Michel BLANCHARD |
Date Deposited: | 11 May 2013 07:46 |
Last Modified: | 11 Oct 2019 08:35 |
References: | Carhart, M, 1997, On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance, The Journal of Finance, 52: 57-82. Fama, E. F., and, French, K. R, 1993, Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds, Journal of Financial Economics 33, 3-56. Fama, E. F. and French, K. R. ,2010, Luck versus Skill in the Cross-Section of Mutual Fund Returns. The Journal of Finance, 65: 1915–1947 Grinblatt, M, and Titman,S, 1992, Performance persistence in mutual funds, Journal of Finance 47,1977-1984. Jegadeesh, N, and Titman,S, 1993, Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency, Journal of Finance 48, 65-91. Jensen, M. C., 1968, The performance of mutual funds in the period 1945-1964, Journal of Finance 23,2033-2058. Kahneman, D, 2011, Thinking, Fast and Slow Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2011 - 512 pages. Malkiel, B, G., 1995, Returns from investing in equity mutual funds: 1971-1991, Journal of Finance 50, 549-572. Roger Otten & Dennis Bams, 2002. "European Mutual Fund Performance," European Financial Management, vol. 8(1), pages 75-101. Stewart, W., 2010, Lusha the chimpanzee outperforms 94% of Russia bankers with her investment portfolio, The Daily Mail, January 13th. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/46896 |