Munich Personal RePEc Archive
Login | Create Account

Monetary Policy, Vagabonding Liquidity and Bursting Bubbles in New and Emerging Markets - An Overinvestment View

Schnabl, Gunther and Hoffmann, Andreas (2007): Monetary Policy, Vagabonding Liquidity and Bursting Bubbles in New and Emerging Markets - An Overinvestment View. Published in: CESifo Working Paper , Vol. 2100, (September 2007)

[img]
Preview
PDF - Requires a PDF viewer such as GSview, Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader
354Kb

Abstract

Credit booms have globally fuelled hikes in stock, raw material and real estate markets which have culminated in the recent US subprime market crisis. We explain the global asset market booms since the mid 1980s based on the overinvestment theories of Hayek, Wicksell and Schumpeter. We argue that ample liquidity supply originating in the large industrialized countries has contributed to overinvestment cycles in Japan, East Asia, new markets in the industrial countries and many emerging market economies. Expansionary monetary policies in response to the burst of bubbles are argued to have contributed to vagabonding bubbles around the globe.

Item Type:MPRA Paper
Institution:University of Leipzig
Language:English
Keywords:Bubbles; Boom-Bust Cycles; Hayek; Wicksell; Schumpeter; Emerging Markets; Capital Flows; Overinvestment Theories
Subjects:E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E4 - Money and Interest Rates > E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
B - History of Economic Thought, Methodology, and Heterodox Approaches > B5 - Current Heterodox Approaches > B53 - Austrian
E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E58 - Central Banks and Their Policies
ID Code:5201
Deposited By:Gunther Schnabl
Deposited On:08. Oct 2007
Last Modified:28. Jul 2011 16:07
References:

Backe, P. Egert, B. and Zumer, T. 2006: Credit Growth in Central and Eastern Europe. ECB Working Paper Series NO 687. Bell, M. and Pavitt, K. 1993: Technological Accumulation and Industrial Growth: Contrasts Between Developed and Developing Countries. Industrial and Corporate Change, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 157-210. Duenwald, Ch. Gueorguiev, N. and Schaechter, A. 2005: Too Much of a Good Thing? Credit Booms in Transition Economies: The Cases of Bulgaria, Romania, and Ukraine. IWF Working Paper 05/128. Eichengreen, B. and Hausmann, R. 1999: Exchange Rates and Financial Fragility. NBER Working Paper 7418. Fritsch, M. and Werker C. 1999: Innovation Systems in Transition. CRIC Discussion Paper No 28, Manchester. Hayek, Friedrich A. 1976: Geldtheorie und Konjunkturtheorie, Salzburg. Högselius, P 2001: The Impact of Swedish firms on transition in Eastern Europe: Innovation and Institutional Change in Estonia by Means of West-East Inter-Organisational Collaboration. Paper prepared for the DRUID Winter Conference, Denmark. McKinnon, R. 1997: The Order of Economic Liberalization: Financial Control in the Transition to a Market Economy, John Hopkins University Press. Mendoza, E and Terrones, M. 2004: Are Credit Booms in Emerging Markets a Concern? World Economic Outlook Chapter IV. Washington D.C.: International Monetary Fund. April. 147-166. Schnabl, G. 2007: Exchange Rate Volatility and Growth in Emerging Europe and East Asia. Leipzig, Mimeo. Schnabl, G. and Starbatty, J. 1998: Im Strudel der japanischen Krise: Die Weltkonjunktur ist bedroht / Die Strukturprobleme Japans werden mit einem nachfragepolitischen Kraftakt zementiert. Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, 22.08.1998, 13. Printed in Deutsche Bundesbank: Auszüge aus Presseartikeln, Nr. 50, August 27th 1998. Schumpeter, J. 1912: Theorie der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, Berlin. Sopanha 2006: Capital flows and Credit Booms in Emerging Market Economies. Banque de France, Financial Stability Review No. 9. Wicksell, K. 2005: Geldzins und Güterpreise, FinanzBuch Verlag.

All papers reproduced by permission. Reproduction and distribution subject to the approval of the copyright owners.
Repository Staff Only: item control page

LMU-Logo
MPRA is a RePEc service hosted by
the Munich University Library in Germany.