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Forecasting water consumption in Spain using univariate time series models

Caiado, Jorge (2007): Forecasting water consumption in Spain using univariate time series models. Published in: Proceedings of IEEE Spanish Computational Intelligence Society (September 2007): pp. 415-423.

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Abstract

In this paper, we examine the daily water demand forecasting performance of double seasonal univariate time series models (Exponential Smoothing, ARIMA and GARCH) based on multi-step ahead forecast mean squared errors. We investigate whether combining forecasts from different methods and from different origins and horizons could improve forecast accuracy. We use daily data for water consumption in Spain from 1 January 2001 to 30 June 2006.

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