Munich Personal RePEc Archive
Login | Create Account

Committees Versus Individuals: An Experimental Analysis of Monetary Policy Decision Making

Lombardelli, Clare; Proudman, James and Talbot, James (2005): Committees Versus Individuals: An Experimental Analysis of Monetary Policy Decision Making. Published in: International Journal of Central Banking , Vol. Volume 1, No. Number 1 (13. June 2005): pp. 181-205.

[img]
Preview
PDF - Requires a PDF viewer such as GSview, Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader
273Kb

Abstract

We report the results of an experimental analysis of monetary policy decision making under uncertainty. A large sample of economics students played a simple monetary policy game, both as individuals and in committees of five players. Our findings - that groups make better decisions than individuals - accord with previous work by Blinder and Morgan. We also attempt to establish why this is so. Some of the improvement is related to the ability of committees to strip out the effect of bad play, but there is a significant additional improvement, which we associate with players learning from each other’s interest rate decisions.

Item Type:MPRA Paper
Language:English
Keywords:Monetary policy; experimental economics; central banking; uncertainty
Subjects:G - Financial Economics > G0 - General > G00 - General
G - Financial Economics > G0 - General
ID Code:823
Deposited By:Terry Woodard
Deposited On:21. Nov 2006
Last Modified:25. Jul 2011 16:29
References:

Bank of England. 2000. Economic Models at the Bank of England.September 2000 update. London: Bank of England.

Blinder, Alan S., and John Morgan. 2000. “Are Two Heads Better Than One?: An Experimental Analysis of Group vs. Individual Decisionmaking.” NBER Working Paper No. 7909 (September).

Fry, Maxwell, DeAnne Julius, Lavan Mahadeva, Sandra Roger, and Gabriel Sterne. 1999. “Key Issues in the Choice of Monetary Policy Framework.” In Monetary Frameworks in a Global Context,ed. Lavan Mahadeva and Gabriel Sterne. London: Routledge.

Fuhrer, Jeffrey C., and George R. Moore. 1995. “Inflation Persistence.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 110 (1): 127–59.

Gerlach-Kristen, Petra. 2001. “Monetary Policy Committees and Interest-Rate Setting.” Mimeo, University of Basel.

Hall, J. 1971. “Decisions, Decisions, Decisions.” Psychology Today (November).

Janis, Irving L. 1972. Victims of Groupthink. Boston: Houghton Mifflin.

Myers, David G. 1982. “Polarizing Effects of Social Comparison.” In Group Decision-Making, ed. Hermann Brandst¨atter, James H. Davis, and Gisela Stocker-Kreichgauer. New York: Academic Press.

Sibert, Anne. 2003. “Monetary Policy Committees: Individual and Collective Reputations.” Review of Economic Studies 70 (3): 649–65.

Stoner, J. A. F. 1961. “A Comparison of Individual and Group Decisions Involving Risk.” Master’s thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Svensson, Lars E.O., and Michael Woodford. 2000. “Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy.” NBER Working Paper No. 7953 (October).

Tukey, John W. 1977. Exploratory Data Analysis. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.

All papers reproduced by permission. Reproduction and distribution subject to the approval of the copyright owners.
Repository Staff Only: item control page

LMU-Logo
MPRA is a RePEc service hosted by
the Munich University Library in Germany.