Kasirye, Ibrahim (2007): Vulnerability and Poverty Dynamics in Uganda, 1992-1999.
Download (298kB) | Preview
This paper uses a panel data set of 1309 households in Uganda to measure vulnerability to poverty between 1992/93 and 1999/2000 and to estimate the impact of household characteristics on vulnerability. The likelihood of future poverty is estimated based on the expected mean and variance of household consumption. Education, spatial characteristics, and access to community infrastructure are found to have important impacts on vulnerability. Specifically, the reduction in vulnerability to poverty increases with higher education attainment of the household head. Also households resident in northern Uganda are about 60 percent more vulnerable compared to their counterparts in central Uganda. The study also finds that causes of vulnerability in Uganda are similar to causes of poverty and therefore policies to raise the earning capacity of poor households would help both vulnerability and poverty.
|Item Type:||MPRA Paper|
|Original Title:||Vulnerability and Poverty Dynamics in Uganda, 1992-1999|
|Keywords:||Vulnerability;Poverty Dynamics; Uganda|
|Subjects:||I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I3 - Welfare and Poverty > I32 - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty|
|Depositing User:||IBRAHIM KASIRYE|
|Date Deposited:||03. May 2008 10:25|
|Last Modified:||14. Feb 2013 09:07|
Alderman, H. et al. (2001) “Attrition in Longitudinal Household Survey Data: Some Tests for three developing country samples”. Washington. D.C: World Bank.
Amemiya, T. (1977) “The maximum likelihood Estimator and the non-linear three Stage least squares estimator in the general non-linear simultaneous Equation model” Econometrica 45: 955-968.
Appleton, S. (2001) “Poverty reduction during growth: The case of Uganda 1992-2000”. Under revision for Review of Income and Wealth.
_______, (1999) “Changes in Poverty in Uganda, 1992-1997. Working Paper No. WPS/99/22. Oxford: Centre for the study of African Economies.
Bird, K and I.Shinyekwa (2005) “Even the rich are vulnerable: Multiple shocks and downward mobility in rural Uganda”. Development Policy Review Vol. 23 (1): 55-85.
Boozer, M. A and M. P. Goldstein (2003) “Poverty Measurement and Dynamics”
Carter, M. R and J. May (2001) “One kind of freedom: Poverty Dynamics in post-Apartheid South Africa” World Development Vol. 29, No. 12: 198-206.
Chaudhuri, S., J.Jalan and A., Suryhadi (2002) “Assessing Household Vulnerability To Poverty from Cross-sectional Data: A Methodology and Estimates from Indonesia” Columbia University Department of Economics Discussion Paper No. 0102-52.
Chaudhuri, S., (2003) “Assessing Vulnerability to Poverty: Concepts, Empirical Methods, and Illustrative Examples, Columbia University, mimeo.
Christiaensen, L and R. Boisvert (2000) “On Measuring Households Food Vulnerability: Case Evidence from Northern Mali” Department of Agricultural, Resource and Managerial Economics. WP 2000-05, March
Christiaensen, L. and K. Subbarao. (2004) “Towards an understanding of Vulnerability in Rural Kenya” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 3326.
Deininger, K and J. Okidi (2003) “Growth and poverty reduction in Uganda, 1992-2000: Panel Data Evidence” Development Policy Review, Vol. 21, No. 4: 481- 509.
Dercon, S. (2001) “Assessing Vulnerability to Poverty”, mimeo, University of Oxford, Oxford.
Dercon, S and P. Krishnan (2000) “In sickness and in Health: Risk Sharing with Households in Rural Ethiopia” Journal of Political Economy. Vol. 104. No. 4: 688-727.
Foster, J., J. Greer, and E.Thorbecke (1984) “A class of decomposable poverty measures”. Econometrica Vol. 52, No. 3: 761-766.
Government of Uganda (2003d). Uganda Participatory Poverty Assessment Report. Ministry of Finance Planning and Economic Development, Kampala.
Jalan, J. and M. Ravallion (2000) “Is Transient Poverty Different: Evidence from Rural China”. Journal of Development Studies. Vol.36, No.6: 82-99.
Kappel, R et al. (2005) “Uganda: No more Pro-poor Growth?” Development Policy Review Vol. 23, No. 1: 27-53.
Lawson, D et al. (2003) “Poverty Persistence and Transitions in Uganda: A Combined Qualitative and Quantitative Analysis” EPRC Research Paper No.
Okidi, J and A. McKay (2003) “Poverty Dynamics in Uganda: 1992 to 2000”. EPRC Research Series No. 32
Okidi, J.A and G.K. Mugambe (2002) “An overview of chronic poverty and Development policy in Uganda” EPRC Occasional paper No. 12
Ravallion, M (2001) “Growth, Inequality, and Poverty: Looking Beyond averages” World Development Vol. 29, No. 11: 1803-1815.
Ssewanyana et al. (2004) “Understanding the determinants of Income Inequality in Uganda” Oxford University Centre for Study of African Economies Working Paper No WPS 2004-29.
Uganda Bureau of Statistics (2003) Uganda National Household Survey 2002-2003: Social Economic Report. Entebbe.
_________, (2001a) Uganda National Household Survey 1999-2000. Entebbe
_________, (2001b) Uganda Demographic and Health survey 2000-2001. Entebbe.
World Bank (2000) World Development Report 2000/1: Attacking Poverty. Washington, DC. World Bank.