Munich Personal RePEc Archive
Login | Create Account

Determinants of interregional migration in Italy:A panel data analysis

Etzo, Ivan (2008): Determinants of interregional migration in Italy:A panel data analysis. Unpublished.

This is the latest version of this item.

[img]
Preview
PDF - Requires a PDF viewer such as GSview, Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader
299Kb

Abstract

Using panel data analysis on gross migration flows between regions, the empirical analysis investigates the role of the macroeconomic determinants during the period 1996-2002. After two decades of low internal migration rates, official national statistics report a considerable increase of internal mobility that started in 1996 and continues to grow at the time of writing. The study distinguishes between the role played by the same explanatory variable in the sending region (push factor) and in the destination region (pull factor). The per capita GDP turns out to be the main economic determinant, showing a strong effect both when it acts as a push factor and when it acts as an attractive factor. The unemployment rate appears to be an important determinant as well. The results from the dynamic model show the presence of strong network effects.

Item Type:MPRA Paper
Institution:University of Cagliari
Language:English
Keywords:Interregional migration; gravity model; panel data; FEVD
Subjects:R - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics > R1 - General Regional Economics
E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E0 - General > E00 - General
A - General Economics and Teaching > A1 - General Economics > A10 - General
ID Code:8637
Deposited By:Ivan Etzo
Deposited On:07. May 2008 17:10
Last Modified:03. Aug 2011 14:10
References:

1) Alonso, W. 1986, Systemic and log-linear models: From here to there, then to now, and this to that. Discussion paper 86-10, Center for Population Studies, Harvard University.

2) Anderson, J.E. 1979, A Theoretical Foundation for the Gravity Equation. The American Economic Review, Vol. 69, Issue 1, p. 106-116.

3) Andrienko, Yuri; Guriev, Sergei 2004, Determinants of Interregional Mobility in Russia: Evidence from Panel Data, [Journal Article] Economics of Transition. Vol. 12 (1). p 1-27.

4) Angulo Ana & Jesus Mur 2005, "Geographical Labour Mobility In Spain - A Panel Data Approach," ERSA conference papers ersa05p247, European Regional Science Association.

5) Arellano, M., and O. Bover 1995, “Another look at the instrumental variables estimation of error components models.” Journal of Econometrics 68: 29–51.

6) Arellano, M., and S. Bond [1991], Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations, Review of Economic Studies 58: 277–97.

7) Attanasio, Orazio P; Padoa Schioppa, Fiorella 1991, Regional Inequalities, Migration and Mismatch in Italy, 1960-86, [Collective Volume Article] Mismatch and labour mobility. Padoa Schioppa, Fiorella, ed., Cambridge; New York and Melbourne: Cambridge University Press. p 237-320.

8) Basile Roberto & Jaewon Lim 2006, "Wages Differentials and Interregional Migration in the U. S.: An Empirical Test of the "Option Value of Waiting Theory," ERSA conference papers ersa06p263, European Regional Science Association, revised.

9) Basile Roberto & Marco Causi 2005, "Le determinanti dei flussi migratori nelle province italiane: 1991-2001", Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0049, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.

10) Bauer, Thomas &Klaus F. Zimmermann Spring, 1997, Network Migration of Ethnic Germans, International Migration Review, Vol. 31, No. 1, pp. 143-149.

11) Baum Christopher F & Mark E. Schaffer & Steven Stillman [2002], "Instrumental variables and GMM: Estimation and testing", Boston College Working Papers in Economics 545, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 14 Feb 2003.

12) Becker, S.O., Ichino, A. e Peri, G. 2004, How large is the brain drain from Italy?, in Giornale degli Economisti e Annali di Economia, vol. 63, pp. 1-32.

13) Blundell, R., and S. Bond 1998, “Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models.” Journal of Econometrics 87: 11–143.

14) Bonifazi, Corrado 2001, International and internal migration in Italy. Context and perspectives of Italian migration flows. Growth in immigration and recover in inter-regional migration, «Demotrends», n. 2, 2001, p. 2.

15) Bosco Luigi 2003, “Divari Nord-Sud e migrazione interna”, Sviluppo Locale.

16) Cannari, Luigi; Nucci, Francesco; Sestito, Paolo November 2000, Geographic Labour Mobility and the Cost of Housing: Evidence from Italy. [Journal Article] Applied Economics. Vol. 32 (14). p 1899-1906.

17) Carrington, W.J., E. Detragiache and T. Vishwanath 1996, “Migration with endogenous moving costs”, American Economic Review, 86 (4): 909-30.

18) Casavola P, Gavosto A, Sestito P. 1995, Salari e Mercato del Lavoro Locale, Banca d.Italia, Servizio Studi Banca d.Italia.

19) Cseres-Gergely, Zsombor 2004, County to county migration and labour market conditions in Hungary between 1994 and 2002. Zeitschrift für ArbeitsmarktForschung - Journal for Labour Market Research, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt“ und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 37(4), pages 425-436.

20) Cushing Brian, Poot Jacques [2004], “Crossing boundaries and borders: Regional science advances in migration modelling” Papers in Regional Science 83 (1) , 317–338.

21) DaVanzo J. 1978 , Does unemployment affect migration? Evidence from micro data. Review of Economics and Statistics 60: 504–514.

22) Daveri, Francesco; Faini, Riccardo October 1999, Where Do Migrants Go? [Journal Article] Oxford Economic Papers. Vol. 51 (4). p 595-622.

23) De Vries Jacob J.; Nijkamp Peter; Piet Rietveld 2000, Alonso's General Theory of Movement: Advances in Spatial Interaction Modeling. In Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers.

24) Decressin, J. W. 1994, “Internal Migration in West Germany and Implications for East-West Salary Convergence”, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 130, 231-257.

25) Docquier Frédéric 2006, "Brain Drain and Inequality Across Nations," IZA Discussion Papers 2440, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), revised.

26) Everdeen, Sjef and Nick Bardsley 2003, “The influence of wage and unemploymentdifferentials on labour mobility in the EU: A meta-analysis,” ACCESSLAB project working paper.

27) Fachin, Stefano March 2007, Long-Run Trends in Internal Migrations in Italy: A Study in Panel Cointegration with Dependent Units. [Journal Article] Journal of Applied Econometrics. Vol. 22 (2). p 401-28.

28) Faini, Riccardo & Galli, Giampaolo & Gennari, Pietro & Rossi, Fulvio April 1997, "An empirical puzzle: Falling migration and growing unemployment differentials among Italian regions", European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-5), pages 571-579.

29) Goss E, Chang H. 1983, Changes in elasticities of interstate migration: Implication of alternative functional forms. Journal of Regional Science 23: 223–232.

30) Graves, Philip E. and Peter D.Linneman 1979, “Household Migration: Theoretical and Empirical Results”, Journal of Urban Economics, 6, 383-404.

31) Greene, W H. 2003, Econometric Analysis, 3rd Edition, Prentice Hall International Edition.

32) Greenwood MJ. 1985, Human migration: Theory, models and empirical studies. Journal of Regional Science 25: 521–544.

33) Greenwood, MJ. 1997, “Internal Migration in Developed Countries,” in Mark R. Rosenzweig and Oded Stark, editors, Handbook of Population and Family Economics, Volume 1B. Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 647-720.

34) Hamermesh, Daniel S. 1993, Labor Demand, Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.

35) Hansen, L. [1982], Large sample properties of generalized method of moments estimators. Econometrica 50(3): 1029-1054.

36) Hanson, Gordon y Spilimbergo, Antonio May 1996, “Illegal immigration, border enforcement, and relative wages: evidence from apprehensions at U.S.-Mexico border” NBER Working paper.

37) Harris J.R. and M.P. Todaro 1970, “Migration, Unemployment and Development: A Two Sector Analysis”, American Economic Review, 60, 126-142.

38) Hausman, Jerry A. [1978], Specification Tests in Econometrics, Econometrica 46, 1251-1271.

39) Hicks J. 1932, The theory of wages. McMillan, London.

40) Hsiao, Cheng 2003, Analysis of panel data. [Book] Second edition. Econometric Society Monographs, no. 34. Cambridge; New York and Melbourne: Cambridge University Press. p xiv, 366.

41) Ibarra G.L. and I. Soloaga 2005, Determinants of migration in Mexico: a spatial econometrics approach, mimeo Universidad de las Amèricas, Puebla.

42) ISTAT anni vari, a, Movimento migratorio della popolazione residente. Iscrizioni e cancellazioni anagrafiche. Roma, ISTAT.

43) ISTAT anni vari, b, Forze di lavoro, Roma, ISTAT.

44) Juarez Juan Pablo 2000, Analysis of Interregional Labor Migration in Spain Using Gross Flows Journal of Regional Science, 40 (2) , 377–399 doi:10.1111/0022-4146.00179.

45) Larson, Donald y Mundlak, Yair February 1995, “On the intersectorial migration of agricultural labor” Policy Research Working Paper.

46) Lowry, I. 1966, Migration and metropolitan growth: two analytical models. San Francisco: Chandler.

47) Mankiw, N. G., Romer D. and Weil D. N. [1992], “A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 107, No. 2, pp. 407-437. 48) Matyas, L. 1998, The Gravity Model: Some Econometric Considerations. The World Economy, 21, p. 397-401.

49) Maza Adolfo & José Villaverde 2004, "Migratory flows in Spain: a nonparametric and semiparametric approach," ERSA conference papers ersa04p50, European Regional Science Association.

50) Molho, I. [1984], "A dynamic model of interregional migration flows in Great Britain", Journal of Regional Science 24: 317-337.

51) Murat e Paba 2001, “Flussi migratori e modelli di sviluppo industriale. L’esperienza italiana dal dopoguerra agli anni novanta”. Mimeo.

Available Versions of this Item

All papers reproduced by permission. Reproduction and distribution subject to the approval of the copyright owners.
Repository Staff Only: item control page

LMU-Logo
MPRA is a RePEc service hosted by
the Munich University Library in Germany.