Yurko, Anna (2008): From Consumer Incomes to Car Ages: How the Distribution of Income Affects the Distribution of Vehicle Vintages. Unpublished.
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This paper studies the relationship between consumer incomes and ages of the durable goods consumed. At the household level, it presents evidence from the Consumer Expenditure Survey of a negative correlation between incomes and ages of the vehicles owned. At the aggregate level, it constructs a dynamic, heterogeneous agents, discrete choice model, to study the relationship between the distribution of consumer incomes and the distribution of vehicle vintages. The model's parameters are calibrated to match vehicle ownership data for 2001. The moments of the income distribution are then varied to generate predictions for mean and median ages of vehicles. The model predicts that higher levels of income inequality lead to older vehicle stocks. If the initial incomes are low, increasing mean income may lead to the aging of vehicles by encouraging entry of lower income consumers into vehicle ownership via purchases of older vehicles. Beyond a certain income level, however, economies with higher mean incomes have younger vehicle stocks.
| Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
|---|---|
| Language: | English |
| Keywords: | income distribution; motor vehicles; heterogeneous agents models; intertemporal consumer choice; discrete choice |
| Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D12 - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis D - Microeconomics > D9 - Intertemporal Choice and Growth > D91 - Intertemporal Consumer Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment > E21 - Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Aggregate Physical and Financial Consumer Wealth |
| ID Code: | 8849 |
| Deposited By: | Anna Yurko |
| Deposited On: | 25. May 2008 07:12 |
| Last Modified: | 03. Apr 2012 21:30 |
| References: | 1. Jerome Adda and Russell Cooper. Balladurette and Juppette: A discrete analysis of scrapping subsidies. Journal of Political Economy, 108(4):778-806, 2000. 2. Jerome Adda and Russell Cooper. The dynamics of car sales: A discrete choice approach. NBER Working Paper, 7785, 2007. 3. Consumer Expenditure Survey: Interview Survey and Detailed Expenditure Files. US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2002. 4. Alan Greenspan and David Cohen. Motor vehicle stocks, scrappage, and sales. Review of Economics and Statistics, 81(3):369-383, 1999. 5. Omar Licandro, Luis Puch, and Antonio Sampayo. Secondhand market and the lifetime of durable goods. FEDEA Working Paper, 2006-10, 2006. 6. Terry Miller, Wayne Davis, Gregory Reed, Prakash Doraiswamy, and Anna Tang. Effect of county-level income on vehicle age distribution and emissions. Transportation Research Record, 1815:47-53, 2002. 7. John Nelder and Roger Mead. A simplex method for function minimization. Computer Journal, 7:308-313, 1965. 8. Karl Storchmann. On the depreciation of automobiles: An international comparison. Transportation, 31:371-408, 2004. 9. Human Development Report. United Nations Development Programme, 2006, 2007/2008. 10. Ward's Automotive Yearbook. Ward's Communications, Detroit, 2002. |
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