Munich Personal RePEc ArchiveA Multivariate Causality Analysis of Export and Growth for TurkeyFerdaHaliciogluauthorThis study seeks to validity of the export-led growth hypothesis using quarterly data from 1980 to 2005. The bounds testing approach to cointegration is employed to test the causal relationship between industrial production, exports and terms of trade. An augmented form of Granger causality analysis is implemented to identify the direction of relationship among the variables both in the short-run and the long-run. The empirical findings suggest uni-directional causation from exports to industrial production.C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion ProcessesF43 - Economic Growth of Open EconomiesF14 - Empirical Studies of TradeC12 - Hypothesis Testing: General2007MPRA Paper

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