Theory and practice of falsified elections

Kapustenko, Oleg (2011): Theory and practice of falsified elections.

Abstract

An analysis of falsified election results is presented. A model of the falsification process is proposed and simulations are performed. The model fits well the data of the parliamentary elections in Russia on December 4, 2011. It is shown that the "noise" of false votes is well separated from the fair “signal”, which can be extracted with high statistical accuracy (less than l%) allowing quantitative reconstruction of the falsification patterns.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: election, ballot stuffing, statistical analysis
• Subjects: D - Microeconomics > D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making > D72 - Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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