Trends and Decomposition Growth Analysis of the Most Important Cereal Crops in Egypt

El-Rasoul, Ahmed Abou El-Yazid and Shehab, Sameh M. Hassan and Maghraby, Heba El-Sayed (2020): Trends and Decomposition Growth Analysis of the Most Important Cereal Crops in Egypt. Published in: IOSR Journal of Agriculture and Veterinary Science (IOSR-JAVS) DOI: 10.9790/2380-1304010109 , Vol. 13, No. 4(1) (April 2020): 01-09.

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the growth performance of the most important cereal crops of Egypt agriculture (wheat, rice, and maize) and the sources of the production growth of these crops during the period 1975-2017. This analysis is to implement appropriate policies that would enhance the production increase of these crops using component analysis. Based on the results of the Chow Breakpoint test, the study was divided into three periods: 1975-1986, 1987-2000 and 2001-2017, in addition to the full period 1975-2017.The results showed that the growth of wheat, rice and maize production during the study periods depends on changes in yield more than changes in area. So, the study emphasizes that the vertical expansion has a greater impact than the horizontal expansion. This is reflecting the effect of scientific research and development (R&D) on increasing cereal crops in Egypt.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Compound growth rate, Decomposition analysis of growth, Effect of area and yield, Cereal crops trends in Egypt.
• Subjects: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E23 - Production; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q1 - Agriculture > Q15 - Land Ownership and Tenure ; Land Reform ; Land Use ; Irrigation ; Agriculture and Environment; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q1 - Agriculture > Q16 - R&D ; Agricultural Technology ; Biofuels ; Agricultural Extension Services; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q1 - Agriculture > Q18 - Agricultural Policy ; Food Policy

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