Feuerbacher, Arndt and McDonald, Scott and Thierfelder, Karen (2020): Peasant Households and Pandemic Viral Diseases.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_100867.pdf Download (644kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Outbreaks of infectious diseases are particularly devastating for developing countries and the poor: they deplete, through premature death and morbidity the primary asset of the poor – their labour – in economies with the least developed health care systems. This study examines how peasant households, who are simultaneously producers and consumers, might adapt to the impact of a pandemic. The analyses indicate that the dual role of peasant households allows them to mitigate some of the adverse impacts of a coronavirus pandemic, and thereby offset some of the economic effects. Critical to this is the ability of peasant households to transfer labour between agricultural activities and social reproduction; and this happens whenever in the year a pandemic occurs. But it is noteworthy that the changes in consumption and production patterns differ according to the timing of the pandemic.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Peasant Households and Pandemic Viral Diseases |
English Title: | Peasant Households and Pandemic Viral Diseases |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Peasant households; Seasonal labour; Labour-Leisure trade-off; Pandemics; Economy-wide modelling. |
Subjects: | I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I1 - Health > I10 - General I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I1 - Health > I15 - Health and Economic Development I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I3 - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty > I32 - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J2 - Demand and Supply of Labor > J22 - Time Allocation and Labor Supply O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O10 - General O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O11 - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O13 - Agriculture ; Natural Resources ; Energy ; Environment ; Other Primary Products Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q1 - Agriculture > Q13 - Agricultural Markets and Marketing ; Cooperatives ; Agribusiness |
Item ID: | 100867 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Arndt Feuerbacher |
Date Deposited: | 29 Jun 2020 09:28 |
Last Modified: | 29 Jun 2020 09:28 |
References: | Ahmed, S. A., Barış, E., Go, D. S., Lofgren, H., Osorio-Rodarte, I., & Thierfelder, K. (2018). Assessing the global poverty effects of antimicrobial resistance. World Development, 111, 148–160. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2018.06.022 Aragie, E. A. (2014). Climate Change and Semi-Subsistence Agricultural Households (PhD Thesis). Oxford Brookes University, Oxford. Aragie, E. A., McDonald, S., & Thierfelder, K. (2016). A Static Applied General Equilibrium Model: Technical Documentation: STAGE_DEV Version 2. http://cgemod.org.uk/stg_dev.html. Bardhan, P. (Ed.) (1989). The economic theory of agrarian institutions. Oxford: Clarendon Press. Bargain, O., & Peichl, A. (2016). Own-wage labor supply elasticities: variation across time and estimation methods. IZA Journal of Labor Economics, 5(1), 635. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40172-016-0050-z Barnum, H. N., & Squire, L. (1979). A model of an agricultural household. Theory and evidence (Occasional Paper No. No. 27). Washington DC, USA. Barrett, C. B., Sherlund, S. M., & Adesina, A. A. (2008). Shadow wages, allocative inefficiency, and labor supply in smallholder agriculture. Agricultural Economics, 38(1), 21–34. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1574-0862.2007.00278.x Becker, G. S. (1965). A Theory of the Allocation of Time. The Economic Journal, 75(299), 493. https://doi.org/10.2307/2228949 The Bhutanese (2020). Anxious wait for Bhutan for lifesaving medical equipment and supplies with raging global demand - The Bhutanese. Retrieved from https://thebhutanese.bt/anxious-wait-for-bhutan-for-lifesaving-medical-equipment-and-supplies-with-raging-global-demand/ Boeters, S., & Savard, L. (2013). The Labor Market in Computable General Equilibrium Models. Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, 1, 1645–1718. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-444-59568-3.00026-2 Castañeda, A., Doan, D., Newhouse, D., Nguyen, M. C., Uematsu, H., & Azevedo, J. P. (2018). A New Profile of the Global Poor. World Development, 101, 250–267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.08.002 Chayanov, A. V. (1986). The theory of peasant economy. Manchester, UK: Manchester University Press. Ellis, F. (1993). Peasant economics: Farm households and agrarian development. Wye studies in agricultural and rural development. Cambridge: Cambridge Univ. Press. Retrieved from https://ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk/id/eprint/43934/ Feuerbacher, A. (2019). Economy-wide Modelling of Seasonal Labour and Natural Resource Policies (Dissertation). Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany. https://doi.org/10.18452/19825. Retrieved from https://edoc.hu-berlin.de/handle/18452/20623 https://doi.org/10.18452/19825 Feuerbacher, A., Dukpa, C., & Grethe, H. (2017). A 2012 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) for Bhutan with a detailed representation of the agricultural sector: Technical Documentation (Working Paper No. 94). Berlin. Retrieved from Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Life Sciences, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin website: https://www.agrar.hu-berlin.de/de/institut/departments/daoe/publ/wp/wp94.pdf Feuerbacher, A., McDonald, S., Dukpa, C., & Grethe, H. (2020). Seasonal rural labor markets and their relevance to policy analyses in developing countries. Food Policy, 101875. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2020.101875 Fontana, M., & Wood, A. (2000). Modeling the Effects of Trade on Women, at Work and at Home. World Development, 28(7), 1173–1190. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(00)00033-4 Goldberg, J. (2016). Kwacha Gonna Do? Experimental Evidence about Labor Supply in Rural Malawi. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 8(1), 129–149. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20130369 Hoff, K. R., Braverman, A., & Stiglitz, J. E. (Eds.) (1996). A World Bank book. The economics of rural organization: Theory, practice, and policy (1. paperback print). Oxford: Oxford Univ. Press. Huff, A. G., Beyeler, W. E., Kelley, N. S., & McNitt, J. A. (2015). How resilient is the United States' food system to pandemics? Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, 5(3), 337–347. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13412-015-0275-3 Jacoby, H. G. [H. G.] (1993). Shadow Wages and Peasant Family Labour Supply: An Econometric Application to the Peruvian Sierra. The Review of Economic Studies, 60(4), 903–921. https://doi.org/10.2307/2298105 Kermack, W. O., & McKendrick, A. G. (1927). A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A, Containing Papers of a Mathematical and Physical Character, 115(772), 700–721. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1927.0118 La Fuente, A. de, Jacoby, H. G. [Hanan G.], & Lawin, K. G. (2019). Impact of the West African Ebola Epidemic on Agricultural Production and Rural Welfare: Evidence from Liberia. World Bank Policy Research Working Papers, 1(137734). Retrieved from http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/407951560369329444/Impact-of-the-West-African-Ebola-Epidemic-on-Agricultural-Production-and-Rural-Welfare-Evidence-from-Liberia Lee, P.‑I., & Hsueh, P.‑R. (2020). Emerging threats from zoonotic coronaviruses-from SARS and MERS to 2019-nCoV. Journal of Microbiology, Immunology, and Infection = Wei Mian Yu Gan Ran Za Zhi. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmii.2020.02.001 Lipton, M. (1968). The theory of the optimising peasant 1. Journal of Development Studies, 4(3), 327–351. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220386808421262 Liu, Y., Gayle, A. A., Wilder-Smith, A., & Rocklöv, J. (2020). The reproductive number of COVID-19 is higher compared to SARS coronavirus. Journal of Travel Medicine, 27(2). https://doi.org/10.1093/jtm/taaa021 Löfgren, H., & Robinson, S. (1999). Nonseparable Farm Household Decisions in a Computable General Equilibrium Model. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 81(3), 663–670. https://doi.org/10.2307/1244031 Lopez, R. E. (1986). Structural Models of the Farm Household That Allow for Interdependent Utility and Profit-Maximization Decisions’. In I. Singh, L. Squire, & J. Strauss (Eds.), Agricultural household models: Extensions, applications, and policy. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins Univ. Press. McDonald, S. (2010). Modelling Households as Joint Producers and Consumers (mimeo). http://cgemod.org.uk/Peasant_RHG.pdf. Retrieved from http://cgemod.org.uk/features.html McDonald, S., & Thierfelder, K. (2015). A Static Applied General Equilibrium Model: Technical Documentation STAGE Version 2. http://cgemod.org.uk/stage2.pdf. McDonald, S., & Thierfelder, K. (2020). STAGE_DYN: Recursive Dynamic Applied General Equilibrium Model: Technical Documentation Version 2. http://cgemod.org.uk/stage_rdyn.pdf. Mellor, J. W. (1963). The Use and Productivity of Farm Family Labor in Early Stages of Agricultural Development. Journal of Farm Economics, 45(3), 517. https://doi.org/10.2307/1235430 Michael, R. T., & Becker, G. S. (1973). On the New Theory of Consumer Behavior. The Swedish Journal of Economics, 75(4), 378. https://doi.org/10.2307/3439147 Mintz, S. W. (1973). A note on the definition of peasantries. The Journal of Peasant Studies, 1(1), 91–106. https://doi.org/10.1080/03066157308437874 Mizumoto, K., Kagaya, K., Zarebski, A., & Chowell, G. (2020). Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020. Euro Surveillance: European Communicable Disease Bulletin, 25(10). https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.10.2000180 Morens, D. M., & Fauci, A. S. (2007). The 1918 influenza pandemic: Insights for the 21st century. The Journal of Infectious Diseases, 195(7), 1018–1028. https://doi.org/10.1086/511989 Noll, N. B., Aksamentov, I., Druelle, V., Badenhorst, A., Ronzani, B., Jefferies, G., . . . Neher, R. (2020). COVID-19 Scenarios: an interactive tool to explore the spread and associated morbidity and mortality of SARS-CoV-2. MedRxiv Preprint. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.05.20091363 The Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia Emergency Response Epidemiology Team (2020). The Epidemiological Characteristics of an Outbreak of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Diseases (COVID-19) — China, 2020. China CDC Weekly, 2(8), 113–122. https://doi.org/10.46234/ccdcw2020.032 NSB (2019). Population Projections Bhutan 2017-2047. Thimphu, Bhutan. Retrieved from National Statistics Bureau of Bhutan website: http://nsb.gov.bt/publication/files/pub2wc8278bd.pdf Ostfeld, R. S. (2009). Biodiversity loss and the rise of zoonotic pathogens. Clinical Microbiology and Infection : The Official Publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, 15 Suppl 1, 40–43. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-0691.2008.02691.x Riccardo, F., Ajelli, M., Andrianou, X., Bella, A., Del Manso, M., Fabiani, M., . . . Pezzotti, P. (April 2020). Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases in Italy and estimates of the reproductive numbers one month into the epidemic (medRxiv preprint). medRxiv preprint server. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.08.20056861 Schultz, T. W. (1964). Transforming traditional agriculture. New Haven, USA: Yale University Press. Sen, A. K. (1966). Peasants and Dualism with or without Surplus Labor. The Journal of Political Economy, 425–450. Retrieved from http://www.jstor.org/stable/1829592 Sen, A. K. (1967). Surplus Labour in India: A Rejoinder. The Economic Journal, 77(305), 163. https://doi.org/10.2307/2229376 Verity, R., Okell, L. C., Dorigatti, I., Winskill, P., Whittaker, C., Imai, N., . . . Ferguson, N. M. (2020). Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 20(6), 669–677. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30243-7 Vijgen, L., Keyaerts, E., Lemey, P., Maes, P., van Reeth, K., Nauwynck, H., . . . van Ranst, M. (2006). Evolutionary history of the closely related group 2 coronaviruses: Porcine hemagglutinating encephalomyelitis virus, bovine coronavirus, and human coronavirus OC43. Journal of Virology, 80(14), 7270–7274. https://doi.org/10.1128/JVI.02675-05 Voigtlander, N., & Voth, H.‑J. (2013). The Three Horsemen of Riches: Plague, War, and Urbanization in Early Modern Europe. The Review of Economic Studies, 80(2), 774–811. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rds034 Wolf, E. R. (1966). Peasants (29. print). Upper Saddle Ruver, NJ: Prentice-Hall. Yeloff, D., & van Geel, B. (2007). Abandonment of farmland and vegetation succession following the Eurasian plague pandemic of ad 1347?52. Journal of Biogeography, 34(4), 575–582. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2006.01674.x Zumla, A., Ippolito, G., McCloskey, B., Bates, M., Ansumana, R., Heymann, D., . . . Ntoumi, F. (2017). Enhancing preparedness for tackling new epidemic threats. The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, 5(8), 606–608. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(17)30189-3 |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/100867 |
Available Versions of this Item
- Peasant Households and Pandemic Viral Diseases. (deposited 29 Jun 2020 09:28) [Currently Displayed]