Sanna, Dario (2020): A Fast and Parsimonious Way to Estimate the Implied Rate of Return on Equity.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_102003.pdf Download (234kB) | Preview |
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_102072.pdf Download (280kB) | Preview |
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_102072.pdf Download (280kB) | Preview |
Abstract
I propose a fast and parsimonious way to estimate the implied rate of return on common equity of single stocks and indexes, resulting from the combination of two easily computable ratios.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | A Fast and Parsimonious Way to Estimate the Implied Rate of Return on Equity |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Earnings Yield, Implied Cost of Equity, Price Earnings Ratio, Quadratic Roe Ratio, Roe Discount Model |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G12 - Asset Pricing ; Trading Volume ; Bond Interest Rates |
Item ID: | 102072 |
Depositing User: | Dario Sanna |
Date Deposited: | 28 Jul 2020 10:11 |
Last Modified: | 21 Dec 2024 12:24 |
References: | Addis, David P., Growth Adjusted Price to Earnings Ratio and Implied Growth Rate (August 28, 2012). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2138483 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2138483 Alcock, Jamie and Mollee, Thomas and Wood, James, The Price of Earnings for Firms with Volatile Earnings Growth (May 13, 2008). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1133077 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1133077 Anderson, Keith P. and Brooks, Chris, Decomposing the Price-Earnings Ratio (May 2005). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=739665 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.739665 Asness, Cliff S., Fight the Fed Model: The Relationship between Stock Market Yields, Bond Market Yields, and Future Returns (December 2002). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=381480 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.381480 Bali, Turan G. and Demirtas, K. Ozgur and Tehranian, Hassan, Aggregate Earnings, Firm-Level Earnings and Expected Stock Returns (2008). Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis (JFQA), Vol. 43, No. 3, pp. 657-684, 2008. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1434355 Ball, Ray and Gerakos, Joseph and Linnainmaa, Juhani T. and Nikolaev, Valeri V., Earnings, Retained Earnings, and Book-to-Market in the Cross Section of Expected Returns (January 18, 2019). Journal of Financial Economics (JFE), Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2924798 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2924798 Bekaert, Geert and Ang, Andrew, Stock Return Predictability: Is it There? (April 2001). NBER Working Paper No. w8207. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=265301 Botosan, Christine and Plumlee, Marlene A., Estimating Expected Cost of Equity Capital: A Theory-Based Approach (July 2001). University of Utah Working Paper. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=279309 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.279309 Campbell, John Y. and Shiller, Robert J., Valuation Ratios and the Long-Run Stock Market Outlook: An Update (April 2001). NBER Working Paper No. w8221. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=266191 Chan, Leo H., A More Intuitive Formula for PEG Ratio (November 2019). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3384411 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3384411 Chattopadhyay, Akash and Lyle, Matthew R. and Wang, Charles C. Y., Expected Stock Returns Worldwide: A Log-Linear Present-Value Approach (September 16, 2019). Harvard Business School Accounting & Management Unit Working Paper No. 18-079. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3129086 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3129086 Chen, Peter Fusheng and Zhang, Guochang, How Do Accounting Variables Explain Stock Price Movements? Theory and Evidence (June 2006). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=913463 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.913463 Chiarella, Carl and Gao, Shenhuai, Solving the Price-Earnings Puzzle (April 2002). UTS Working Paper No. 116. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=880002 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.880002 Chin, Michael and Polk, Christopher, A Forecast Evaluation of Expected Equity Return Measures (January 16, 2015). Bank of England Working Paper No. 520. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2550800 Claus, James and Thomas, Jacob, “Equity Premia as Low as Three Percent? Evidence from Analysts’ Earnings Forecasts for Domestic and International Stock Markets.” Journal of Finance 56 (2001): 1629–1666. Damodaran, Aswath, Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation and Implications - The 2010 Edition (February 14, 2010). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1556382 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1556382 DiGabriele, James A. and Eisner, Alan B, Putting the E Back in P/E Ratios. The Valuation Examiner, pp. 24-27, December 2003. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=900626 Dudney, Donna and Jirasakuldech, Benjamas and Zorn, Thomas S., P/E Movements: Some New Results (January 9, 2004). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=499202 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.499202 Easton, Peter D., Does the Peg Ratio Rank Stocks According to the Market's Expected Rate of Return on Equity Capital? (January 2002). Ohio State University Working Paper. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=301837 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.301837 Easton, Peter D., “PE Ratios, PEG Ratios, and Estimating the Implied Expected Rate of Return on Equity Capital.” The Accounting Review 79 (2004): 73–95. Estrada, Javier, Adjusting P/E Ratios by Growth and Risk: The Perg Ratio. EFMA 2003 Helsinki Meetings. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=389340 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.389340 Ferguson, Robert, Making the Dividend Discount Model Relevant for Financial Analysts (October 26, 1998). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3104851 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3104851 Fitzgerald, Tristan and Gray, Stephen and Hall, Jason L. and Jeyaraj, Ravi, Unconstrained Estimates of the Equity Risk Premium (January 29, 2013). Forthcoming in Review of Accounting Studies, 2013, 18 (2), June, Accepted 26 March 2012.. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1551748 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1551748 Gebhardt, William R.; Lee, Charles M.C. and Swaminathan, Bhaskaran, “Toward an Implied Cost of Equity.” Journal of Accounting Research 39 (2001): 135–176. Gode, Dan and Ohlson, James A., P-E Multiples and Changing Interest Rates (July 2000). NYU Working Paper No. Dhananjay (Dan) K. Gode-02. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1280700 Gode, Dan and Mohanram, Partha S., What Affects the Implied Cost of Equity Capital? (February 3, 2001). Stern School of Business Working Paper. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=258702 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.258702 Gode, Dan and Mohanram, Partha S., “Inferring the Cost of Equity Using the Ohlson-J¨uettner Model.” Review of Accounting Studies 8 (2003): 399–431. Goldberg, Eliezer, Are Reinvested Earnings a Substitute for Dividends? (August 27, 2018). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3244048 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3244048 Golob, John, A Pragmatist's Guide to Long-Run Equity Returns, Market Valuation, and the CAPE (October 10, 2014). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2508382 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2508382 Hansen, Charlotte Strunk and Tuypens, Bjorn, Examining the Statistical Properties of Financial Ratios (January 27, 2005). EFA 2005 Moscow Meetings Paper. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=676832 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.676832 Henschke, Stefan and Homburg, Carsten, Equity Valuation Using Multiples: Controlling for Differences Between Firms (May 15, 2009). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1270812 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1270812 Jewell, J. J. and Mankin, J. A. (2016). What is Your EPS? Issues in Computing and Interpreting Earnings Per Share. Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal, 20(3), 48-61.. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2827796 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2827796 Jiang, Xiaoquan and Kang, Qiang, Cross-Sectional PEG Ratios, Market Equity Premium, and Macroeconomic Activity (August 27, 2012). 25th Australasian Finance and Banking Conference 2012. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2137295 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2137295 Ju, Nengjiu and Bakshi, Gurdip S., Book Values, Earnings, and Market Valuations (November 2002). AFA 2003 Washington, DC Meetings. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=342680 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.342680 Keimling, Norbert, Predicting Stock Market Returns Using the Shiller CAPE — An Improvement Towards Traditional Value Indicators? (January 21, 2016). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2736423 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2736423 Krishnan, C. N. V. and Chen, Yifei, The Relationship between Dividend Payout and Price to Earnings (December 9, 2019). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3016040 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3016040 Lew, Sung Hee, Stock Returns with Four Different Valuation Ratios (October 30, 2016). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2859566 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2859566 Lleo, Sebastien and Ziemba, William T., Does the Bond-Stock Earning Yield Differential Model Predict Equity Market Corrections Better than High P/E Models? (May 4, 2015). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2296836 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2296836 Maio, Paulo F. and Xu, Danielle, Cash-Flow or Return Predictability at Long Horizons? The Case of Earnings Yield (June 2, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2170079 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2170079 Mangelmans, Job and Rijken, Herbert A., Implied Growth Horizons and the Cost of Equity (May 4, 2016). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2775303 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2775303 Murugesan, Narayanaswamy, When Equity Returns Are Different from Discount Rates: Why PEG Based DCF Valuation is Flawed (June 18, 2013). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2281228 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2281228 Ohlson, James A. Earnings, Book Values, and Dividends in Equity Valuation (1995). Contemporary Accounting Research, 11: 661-687. doi:10.1111/j.1911-3846.1995.tb00461.x Ohlson, James A and Juettner-Narouth Beate E., “Expected EPS and EPS Growth as Determinants of Value.” Review of Accounting Studies 10 (2005): 349–365. Penman, Stephen H., A Synthesis of Equity Valuation Techniques and the Terminal Value Calculation for the Dividend Discount Model (June 1997). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=38720 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.38720 Penman, Stephen H., Combining Earnings and Book Value in Equity Valuation (July 1997). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=38721 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.38721 Penman, Stephen H. and Zhang, Xiao-Jun, Modeling Sustainable Earnings and P/E Ratios with Financial Statement Analysis (June 1, 2002). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=318967 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.318967 Penman, Stephen H. and Zhu, Julie, Accounting-Based Estimates of the Cost of Capital: A Third Way (February 1, 2017). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3049245 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3049245 Ranka, Arpan, Forecasting Equity Market Returns Using Historical Price Earnings Multiples (December 21, 2012). XI Capital Markets Conference, 21-22 December 2012, Indian Institute of Capital Markets (UTIICM) . Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2255323 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2255323 Reggiani, Francesco and Penman, Stephen H., Returns to Buying Earnings and Book Value: Accounting for Growth and Risk (December 1, 2009). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1536618 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1536618 Staehle, Martin and Lampenius, Niklas, Are PE- and MB-Ratios Susceptible to Accruals, Growth, or Profitability? (June 1, 2010). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1542023 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1542023 Staehle, Martin and Lampenius, Niklas, What is Driving the Price-to-Earnings Ratio: The Effect of Conservative Accounting and Growth (March 25, 2013). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2239208 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2239208 Sum, Vichet, Stock Market Performance: Variance Decomposition of Price-Earnings Ratio, Dividend Yield and Tobin's Q (July 14, 2013). Journal of Financial Transformation, 39, 63-67. April, 2014. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2293532 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2293532 Taliento, Marco, Effects of Dividend Ratios and Other Fundamentals on Forward P/Es - Some Evidences from a Worldwide Cross-Sectional Multivariate Analysis (November 12, 2012). Proceedings of 19th International Business Research Conference 2012. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2174331 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2174331 Vila Wetherilt, Anne and Weeken, Olaf, Equity Valuation Measures: What Can They Tell Us?. Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Winter 2002. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=708981 Wang, Pengguo, The Implied Risk Premium and Firm Risk Characteristics (January 28, 2013). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2208369 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2208369 Yee, Kenton K., Aggregation, Dividend Irrelevancy, and Earnings-Value Relations. Contemporary Accounting Research, Vol. 22, No. 2, pp. 453-480, Summer 2005. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=667781 |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/102072 |