Задачи развития и затраты

Christiaensen, Luc and Scott, Christopher and Wodon, Quentin (2002): Задачи развития и затраты.

Abstract

This paper presents some analytical techniques to help policymakers gauge the technical and fiscal feasibility of development targets. While each of the techniques discussed below has deficiencies, taken together they have proven very useful in providing a sense of realism to target setting. The paper begins with a review of issues involved in target setting. It then presents three methods for assessing the technical viability of development targets, gradually moving from low data- and skill-intensive to more demanding tools. Next, the paper discusses two broad sets of techniques for estimating the cost and fiscal feasibility of reaching specific targets, as well as a number of issues to be considered when gauging a country’s capacity to implement the related program. The paper ends with some concluding remarks. This unpublished version of the paper in Russian was translated from an English version published in the World Bank's Poverty Reduction Strategy Sourcebook.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Development targets and costs
• Language: Russian
• Keywords: Development targets; costs; Millennium Development Goals
• Subjects: O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O2 - Development Planning and Policy > O20 - General

References

Aigner, D., K. Lovell, and P. Schmidt. 1977. “Formulation and Estimation of Stochastic Frontier Production Function Models.” Journal of Econometrics 6:21–37.

Alderman, H., S. Appleton, L. Haddad, L. Song, and Y. Yohannes. 2000. “Reducing Child Malnutrition: How Far Does Income Growth Take Us?” World Bank, Washington, D.C. Processed.

Bevan, D. L. 2001, May. “Tanzania Public Expenditure Review: 2000/01—the Fiscal Deficit and Sustainability of Fiscal Policy.” Paper presented to the consultative meeting of the Public Expenditure Review. Dar es Salaam. Draft.

Charnes, A., W. W. Cooper, and E. Rhodes. 1978. “Measuring the Efficiency of Decision Making Units.” European Journal of Operational Research 2(6):429–44.

Chirikos, T. N., and A M. Sear. 2000. “Measuring Hospital Efficiency: A Comparison of Two Approaches.” Health Services Research 34(6):1389–408.

Christiaensen, L., and H. Alderman. 2001. “Child Malnutrition in Ethiopia: Can Maternal Knowledge Augment the Role of Income.” Africa Region Working Paper Series 22. World Bank, Washington, D.C.

Coelli, T. 1996. “A guide to DEAP version 2.1: a data envelopment analysis (computer) program.” CEPA Working Paper 96/08, Armidale, New South Wales.

Demery, L., and M. Walton. 1999. “Are Poverty and Social goals for the 21st Century Attainable?” IDS Bulletin 30(2):75–91.

Dicowsky, R. B., and C. M. Cardenas. 2000. “Paquete basico de servicios de salud para aldeas rurales: Diseno, estimación de costos, costo efectividad y evaluación de impacto economico-fiscal - informe 2: resultados finales” programa de reorganización institucional y extensión de los servicios basicos del sector salud. Tegucigalpa, Honduras.

Deprins, D., L. Simar, and H. Tulkens. 1984. “Measuring Labor-Efficiency in Post Offices.” In The Performance of Public Enterprises: Concepts and Measurement. M. Marchand, P. Pestieau, and H. Tulkens, eds. North-Holland Publishing Company, Amsterdam.

Drèze, J., and A. Sen. 1996. Indian Development: Selected Regional Perspectives. Clarendon Press, Oxford

Evans, D. B., A. Tandon, C. J. L. Murray, and J. A. Lauer. 2000. “The Comparative Efficiency of National Health Systems in Producing Health: An Analysis of 191 Countries.” GPE Discussion Paper Series 29. World Health Organization, Geneva.

Fakin, B., and A. de Crombrugghe. 1997. “Fiscal Adjustments in Transition Economies - Transfers and the Efficiency of Public Spending: A Comparison with OECD Countries.” World Bank Policy Research Paper 1803. World Bank, Washington, D.C.

Farrell, M. J. 1957. “The Measurement of Productive Efficiency.” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A 120(3):253–78.

Filmer, D., and L. Pritchett. 1997. “Child mortality and public spending on health: how much does money matter.” Development Research Group, DEC, World Bank. Processed.

Filmer, D., and L. Pritchett. 1999. “The Impact of public spending on health: does money matter?” Social Science and Medecine 49(10):1309–23.

Grosskopt, S., and V. Valdmanis. 1987. “Measuring Hospital Performance: A Non-Parametric Approach. Journal of Health Economics 6(2):89–107.

Grossman, P. J., P. Mavros, and R. W. Wassmer. 1999. “Public Sector Technical Inefficiency in Large U.S. Cities” Journal of Urban Economics 46(2):278–99.

Gupta, S., K. Honjo, and M. Verhoeven. 1997. “The Efficiency of Government Expenditure: Experiences from Africa. IMF Working Paper 97/15. International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C.

Kirjavainen, T., and H. A. Loikkanen. 1998. “Efficiency Differences of Finnish Senior Secondary Schools: An Application of DEA and Tobit Analysis.” Economics of Education Review 17(4):377–94.

Kumbhakar, S. C., and C. A. K. Lovell. 2000. Stochastic Frontier Analysis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

Maxwell, S. 1999. “International Targets for Poverty Reduction and Food Security: A Mildly Skeptical but Resolutely Pragmatic View with a Call for Greater Subsidiarity.” IDS Bulletin 30(2):92–105

Midhet, F., S. Becker, and H. Berendes. 1998. “Contextual determinants of maternal mortality in rural Pakistan.” Social Science and Medicine 46(12):1587–98.

Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development, Government of Uganda. 2001. The 2001 Progress Report on Uganda’s PRSP. Kampala, Uganda.

Mirmirani, S., and H. C. Li. 1995. “Health Care Efficiency Measurement: An Application of Data Envelopment Analysis.” Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Economiche Commerciali 42(3):217–29.

Murray, C., J. Kreuser, and W. Whang. 1994. “Cost-effectiveness analysis and policy choices: investing in health systems.” Bulletin of the World Health Organization 74(4):663–74.

Pritchett, L. 1997. “Divergence, Big Time.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 11:3–17.

Pritchett, L., and L. Summers. 1996. “Wealthier Is Healthier.” Journal of Human Resources 31(4):841–68.

Ravallion, M. 2000. “What Can We Learn about Country Performance from Conditional Comparisons across Countries?” World Bank. Processed.

Ravallion, M., and S. Chen. 1999. ”Growth Rates Needed to Halve the Poverty Rate in 25 Years.” Development Research Group, DEC, World Bank. Processed.

Sachs, J., and Warner. 1995. “Economic Convergence and Economic Policies.” NBER Working Paper 5039. Cambridge, MA.

Strauss, T., and D. Thomas. 1995. Human Resources: Empirical Modeling of Household and Family Decisions, in Behiman, T., and T.N. Srinivasan, eds. Handbook of Development Economies, Vol. 3A. North Holland Publishing Company, Amsterdam.

Tulkens, H. 1993. “On FDH Analysis: Some Methodological Issues and Applications to Retail Banking, Courts and Urban Transit.” Journal of Productivity Analysis 4:183–210.

Tulkens, H., and P. Vanden Eeckhaut. 1995. “Non-Parametric Efficiency, Progress and Regress Measures for Panel Data: Methodological Aspects.” European Journal of Operational Research 80:474–99.

Wodon, Q., with contributions from R. Ayres, M. Barenstein, N. Hicks, K. Lee, W. Maloney, P. Peeters, C. Siaens, and S. Yitzhaki. 2000. “Poverty and Policy in Latin America and The Caribbean.” World Bank Technical Paper 467, World Bank, Washington, D.C.

Wodon, Q., M. I. Ajwad, B. Ryan, and J. P. Tre. 2001. “SimSIP: Simulations for Social Indicators and Poverty.” World Bank. Processed.

World Bank. 2001. World Development Indicators. Washington, D.C.

Zere, E. 2000. “Hospital Efficiency in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence From South Africa.” UNU World Institute for Development Economics Research Working Paper 187. Helsinki.