Mujahid, Hira and Alam, Shaista (2014): The impact of financial openness, trade openness on macroeconomic volatility in Pakistan: ARDL Co Integration approach. Published in: E3 Journal of Business Management and Economics , Vol. 5, No. 1 (January 2014): 001-008.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_113234.pdf Download (359kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between trade openness, financial openness, and macroeconomic volatility in Pakistan. For this purpose, time-series data from 1970-to 2010 and the ARDL cointegration technique were used to find the long-run relationship. The results proposed that in the long run, trade openness generates volatility in output and investment, whereas financial openness has a significant effect only on investment volatilities. Furthermore, the error correction model suggested that in the short run, trade and financial openness significantly affect output, consumption, and investment volatilities.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The impact of financial openness, trade openness on macroeconomic volatility in Pakistan: ARDL Co Integration approach |
English Title: | The impact of financial openness, trade openness on macroeconomic volatility in Pakistan: ARDL Co Integration approach |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Macroeconomic Volatility, Trade openness, financial openness, Consumption, Investment |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E21 - Consumption ; Saving ; Wealth F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F41 - Open Economy Macroeconomics F - International Economics > F6 - Economic Impacts of Globalization > F62 - Macroeconomic Impacts |
Item ID: | 113234 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Hira Mujahid |
Date Deposited: | 30 May 2022 11:10 |
Last Modified: | 30 May 2022 11:10 |
References: | Ahmed AD, Suardi S (2009) “Macroeconomic Volatility, Trade and Financial Liberalization in Africa”, World Develop. 37(10): 1623–1636 Barlevy G (2004). ‘The Cost of Business Cycles and the Benefits of Stabilization: A Survey’, NBER WPS 10926, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Baxter M, Crucini MJ (1995). ‘Business Cycles and the Asset Structure of Foreign Trade’,International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, 36(4): 821-54. Bekaert G, Harvey C, Lundblad C (2005). Does Financial liberalization spur growth” J. Financ. Econ. 77: 3-55. Buch M, Doepke J, Pierdzioch C (2005). ‘Financial openness and business cycle volatility’ J. Intl. Money. Financ. 24: 744-65. Caballero RJ, Krishnamurthy A (2001). “International and Domestic Collateral Constraints in a Model of Emerging Market Crises,” J. Monet. Econ. 48: 513–48. Drion J (2011). “Trade Liberalisation and Volatility The Latin American Experience”, Erasmus University Rotterdam Easterly W, Islam R, Stiglitz J (2001). ‘Shaken and Stirred: Explaining Growth Volatility’Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics, ed. by B.Pleskovic and N.Stern, Washington : World Bank. Giovanni J, Levchenko AA (2010). “Country Size, International Trade, and Aggregate Fluctuations in Granular Economies” NBER paper series, working paper 17335. Kose MA, Prasad ES, Terrones ME (2003). ‘Financial Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility’ IMF Working Paper WP/03/50. Washington DC: International Monetary Fund. Krugman P (1993). ‘Lessons of Massachusetts for EMU’, In F.Giavazzi, and F.Torres (Eds), ‘The Transition to Economic and Monetary Union in Europe’, Cambridge University Press, 241-61. Laursen T, Mahajan M (2005). ‘Volatility, Income Distribution and Poverty’, in J. Aizenman and B. Pinto (eds), Managing Economic Volatility and Crisis: A Practitioner’s Guide, Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, pp. 101–36. Kose MA, Eswar SP, Marco ET (2003). “Financial Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility”, IMF staff paper Vol 50. Special issue. Loayza NV, Romain R, Luis S, Jaume V (2007). ”Macroeconomic Volatility and Welfare in Developing Countries: An Introduction” The World Bank Economic Review, 21(3): 343–357. Mendoza EG (1994). ‘Terms-of-trade uncertainty and economic growth: are risk indicators significant in growth regressions?’, International Finance Discussion Papers 491, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). Pancaro C (2010). “Macroeconomic Volatility after Trade and Capital Account Liberalization”, Policy Research Working Paper 5441. Pesaran MH, Shin Y, Smith RJ (1996). “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships,”I DEA Working Paper 9622, Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge. Pesaran MH, Shin Y, Smith RJ (2001). “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships,” J. Appl. Econom. 16: 289-326. Pindyck RS (1991). ‘Irreversibility, Uncertainty, and Investment’, J. Econ. Lit. 29: 1110-1148. Ramey G, Ramey VA (1995). ‘Cross-Country Evidence on the Link between Volatility and Growth’, American Eon. Rev. 85: 1138-51. Razin A, Rose AK (1992). ‘Business-Cycle Volatility and Openness: An Exploratory Cross-Sectional Analysis’, in L.L. Editor, and A.R. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/113234 |