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A Cointegration-based cartel screen for detecting collusion

Kurdoglu, Berkay and Yucel, Eray (2022): A Cointegration-based cartel screen for detecting collusion.

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Abstract

In this article, we propose a new empirical screen for detecting cartels, using the cointegration as our basis of modeling. The proposed screen is capable of identifying potential cartel behavior, indicating the strength of price adjustment among firms, and providing a basis for assessing structural change. The screen is applied to the Turkish cement market for an initial demonstration of use; we obtain promising results.

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