Analisi storica delle rese agricole e la variabilità del clima: Analisi dei dati italiani sui cereali

Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano and Maccarone, Irene (2022): Analisi storica delle rese agricole e la variabilità del clima: Analisi dei dati italiani sui cereali. Forthcoming in: Italian Review of Agricultural Economics : pp. 1-31.

Abstract

Climate change is impacting on the agricultural sector in several ways, and the effects on yields are generally among the most observable ones. Open fields crops, such as cereals, are very vulnerable to climate change. We study the historical data on yields of main cereals, namely barley, maize, oats, rice, rye, wheat, to conclude on the long run impacts of temperature and precipitation, over the period 1920-2015. Yields are found to be inversely correlated with temperatures and positively with precipitation, in both cases the relationships are non-linear, as expected.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Historical crop yields and climate variability: analysis of Italian cereal data
• Language: Italian
• Keywords: Cambiamento climatico, cereali, detrendizzazione
• Subjects: Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q1 - Agriculture > Q11 - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis ; Prices; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q1 - Agriculture > Q18 - Agricultural Policy ; Food Policy; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters and Their Management ; Global Warming

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