Das, Debasmita (2022): Child-rearing, Social Security and Married Women’s Labor Supply over the Life Cycle.
Preview |
PDF
Das_Caregiver_Credit_2022.pdf Download (896kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper studies how career interruptions during child-rearing years affect the labor market trajectory, lifetime earnings, and Social Security benefits of married women in the United States. To this end, I develop a dynamic structural life-cycle model of female labor supply, savings, and Social Security benefit claiming and estimate the model using the Method of Simulated Moments for the 1943-1954 birth cohort. Utilizing the estimated model, I evalu- ate the effects of revenue-neutral introduction of the Social Security Caregiver Credits that cover lost earnings during early child-rearing years through change in retirement benefits. The model predicts that introducing the provision of earning credits for child care in the Social Security system would lead to a sizeable reduction in gender gap in average career earnings at the Social Security Early Retirement Age. The findings suggest that instituting caregiver credits for child-rearing in the absence of the marriage-based Social Security ben- efits would offset a substantial portion of the motherhood penalty in lifetime labor earnings of married women and increase their retirement benefit adequacy.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Child-rearing, Social Security and Married Women’s Labor Supply over the Life Cycle |
English Title: | Child-rearing, Social Security and Married Women’s Labor Supply over the Life Cycle |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Caregiver Credit, Female Labor Supply, Life-cycle Model, Social Security |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D14 - Household Saving; Personal Finance E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E21 - Consumption ; Saving ; Wealth H - Public Economics > H5 - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies > H55 - Social Security and Public Pensions I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I3 - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty > I38 - Government Policy ; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J13 - Fertility ; Family Planning ; Child Care ; Children ; Youth J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J2 - Demand and Supply of Labor > J21 - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J2 - Demand and Supply of Labor > J26 - Retirement ; Retirement Policies |
Item ID: | 117614 |
Depositing User: | Debasmita Das |
Date Deposited: | 15 Jun 2023 08:30 |
Last Modified: | 15 Jun 2023 08:30 |
References: | Adda, J., Dustmann, C., & Stevens, K. (2017). The career costs of children. Journal of Political Economy, 125(2), 293–337. 49 Albanesi, S., & Kim, J. (2021). Effects of the COVID-19 recession on the US labor market: Occupation, family, and gender. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 35(3), 3–24. Altonji, J. G., Hynsjo, D. M., & Vidangos, I. (2021). Marriage dynamics, earnings dynamics, and lifetime family income. National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA. Altonji, J. G., & Segal, L. M. (1996). Small-sample bias in GMM estimation of covariance structures. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 14(3), 353–366. Attanasio, O., Low, H., & Sánchez-Marcos, V. (2008). Explaining changes in female labor supply in a life-cycle model. American Economic Review, 98(4), 1517–52. Attanasio, O., & Weber, G. (1995). Is consumption growth consistent with intertemporal optimization? Evidence from the consumer expenditure survey. Journal of political Economy, 103(6), 1121–1157. Bell, F. C., & Miller, M. L. (2005). Life tables for the United States social security area, 1900-2100 (No. 120). Social Security Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary. Blundell, R., Costa-Dias, M., Goll, D., & Meghir, C. (2021). Wages, experience, and training of women over the life cycle. Journal of Labor Economics, 39(S1), S275–S315. Blundell, R., Costa Dias, M., Meghir, C., & Shaw, J. (2016). Female labor supply, human capital, and welfare reform. Econometrica, 84(5), 1705–1753. Blundell, R., Pistaferri, L., & Preston, I. (2008). Consumption inequality and partial insurance. American Economic Review, 98(5), 1887–1921. Blundell, R., Pistaferri, L., & Saporta-Eksten, I. (2016). Consumption inequality and family labor supply. American Economic Review, 106(2), 387–435. Blundell, R., Pistaferri, L., & Saporta-Eksten, I. (2018). Children, time allocation, and consumption insurance. Journal of Political Economy, 126(S1), S73–S115. Borella, M., De Nardi, M., & Yang, F. (2019). Are marriage-related taxes and Social Security benefits holding back female labor supply? National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA. Butrica, B. A., & Smith, K. E. (2012). The impact of changes in couples’ earnings on married women’s Social Security benefits. Social Security Bulletin, 72, 1. Casanova, M. (2010). Happy together: A structural model of couples’ joint retirement choices. Unpublished Manuscript, Department of Economics, UCLA. Cortes, P., & Pan, J. (2020). Children and the remaining gender gaps in the labor market. National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA. Eckstein, Z., Keane, M., & Lifshitz, O. (2019). Career and family decisions: Cohorts born 1935–1975. Econometrica, 87(1), 217–253. Eckstein, Z., & Lifshitz, O. (2011). Dynamic female labor supply. Econometrica, 79(6), 1675–1726. Favreault, M., & Sammartino, F. J. (2002). The impact of Social Security reform on low- income and older women. Favreault, M., & Steuerle, C. E. (2007). Social Security spouse and survivor benefits for the modern family. French, E. (2005). The effects of health, wealth, and wages on labour supply and retirement behaviour. The Review of Economic Studies, 72(2), 395–427. French, E., & Jones, J. B. (2011). The effects of health insurance and self-insurance on retirement behavior. Econometrica, 79(3), 693–732. Gallen, Y. (2018). Motherhood and the gender productivity gap. Becker Friedman Institute for Research in Economics Working Paper(2018-41). Goldin, C. (2014). A grand gender convergence: Its last chapter. American Economic Review, 104(4), 1091–1119. Goldin, C., & Katz, L. F. (2017). Women working longer: Facts and some explanations. In Women working longer: Increased employment at older ages (pp. 11–53). University of Chicago Press. Goldin, C., & Mitchell, J. (2017). The new life cycle of women’s employment: Disappearing humps, sagging middles, expanding tops. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 31(1), 161–82. Gourinchas, P.-O., & Parker, J. A. (2002). Consumption over the life cycle. Econometrica, 70(1), 47–89. Groneck, M., & Wallenius, J. (2021). It sucks to be single! Marital status and redistribution of social security. The Economic Journal, 131(633), 327–371. Gruber, J., & Wise, D. A. (1999). Social security and retirement around the world. University of Chicago Press Chicago. Guner, N., Kaygusuz, R., & Ventura, G. (2020). Child-related transfers, household labour supply, and welfare. The Review of Economic Studies, 87(5), 2290–2321. Haan, P., & Prowse, V. L. (2017). Optimal social assistance and unemployment insurance in a life-cycle model of family labor supply and savings. Hannusch, A. (2019). Taxing families: The impact of child-related transfers on maternal labor supply. Unpublished Manuscript, Mannheim University. Heckman, J. J. (1979). Sample selection bias as a specification error. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 153–161. Herd, P. (2006). Crediting care or marriage? reforming Social Security family benefits. The Journals of Gerontology Series B: Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences, 61(1), S24–S34. House of Representatives, Congress. (2021). H.R. 3632 (IH) - Social Security Caregiver Credit Act of 2021. U.S. Government Publishing Office. Hubbard, R. G., Skinner, J., & Zeldes, S. P. (1995). Precautionary saving and social insurance. Journal of Political Economy, 103(2), 360–399. Hyslop, D. R. (2001). Rising US earnings inequality and family labor supply: The covariance structure of intrafamily earnings. American Economic Review, 91(4), 755–777. Iams, H. M. (2016). Married women’s projected retirement benefits: An update. Social Security Bulletin, 76, 17. Jankowski, J. (2011). Caregiver credits in france, germany, and sweden: lessons for the United States. Social Security Bulletin, 71, 61. Judd, K. L. (1998). Numerical methods in economics. MIT press. Kaygusuz, R. (2015). Social Security and two-earner households. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 59, 163–178. Knapp, D. (2013). The effect of Social Security auxiliary spouse and survivor’s benefits on the household retirement decision. Unpublished manuscript. Lee, S. (2020). Spousal labor supply, caregiving, and the value of disability insurance. Mc- Master University Department of Economics Working Paper Series. Low, H., Meghir, C., & Pistaferri, L. (2010). Wage risk and employment risk over the life cycle. American Economic Review, 100(4), 1432–67. Maestas, N. (2017). The return to work and women’s employment decisions. In Women working longer: Increased employment at older ages (pp. 55–83). University of Chicago Press. McFadden, D. (1989). A method of simulated moments for estimation of discrete response models without numerical integration. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 995–1026. Meghir, C., & Pistaferri, L. (2004). Income variance dynamics and heterogeneity. Econo- metrica, 72(1), 1–32. Munnell, A. H., & Eschtruth, A. D. (2018). Modernizing Social Security: Caregiver credits. Issue in Brief , 18–15. Nishiyama, S. (2019). The joint labor supply decision of married couples and the US Social Security pension system. Review of Economic Dynamics, 31, 277–304. Olivetti, C. (2006). Changes in women’s hours of market work: The role of returns to experience. Review of Economic Dynamics, 9(4), 557–587. Pakes, A., & Pollard, D. (1989). Simulation and the asymptotics of optimization estimators. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1027–1057. Rutledge, M. S., Zulkarnain, A., & King, S. E. (2017). How much does motherhood cost women in Social Security benefits? (Vol. 14). Center for Retirement research at Boston College Working Paper. Rutledge, M. S., Zulkarnain, A., & King, S. E. (2021). How much does Social Security offset the motherhood penalty? Center for Retirement research at Boston College. Sánchez-Marcos, V., & Bethencourt, C. (2018). The effect of public pensions on women’s labor market participation over a full life cycle. Quantitative Economics, 9(2), 707– 733. Tallis, G. M. (1961). The moment generating function of the truncated multi-normal dis- tribution. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological), 23(1), 223–229. Toossi, M., & Morisi, T. L. (2017). Women in the workforce before, during, and after the Great Recession. Spotlight on Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Van der Klaauw, W., & Wolpin, K. I. (2008). Social Security and the retirement and savings behavior of low-income households. Journal of econometrics, 145(1-2), 21–42. Voena, A. (2015). Yours, mine, and ours: Do divorce laws affect the intertemporal behavior of married couples? American Economic Review, 105(8), 2295–2332. Wu, A. Y., Karamcheva, N. S., Munnell, A. H., & Purcell, P. J. (2013). How do trends in women’s labor force activity and marriage patterns affect Social Security replacement rates. Social Security Bulletin, 73, 1. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/117614 |