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Impact of climate change on household agricultural incomes in niger: spatial econometric analysis

Senzele, Joseph and AMAYENE, Chimène (2022): Impact of climate change on household agricultural incomes in niger: spatial econometric analysis.

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Abstract

This study aims at analyzing the impact of Climate Change on the incomes of agricultural households in Niger through the spatial econometric modeling. It is based on the "household life survey" carried out in 2018 on 3901 farm households. So, the study showed that estimating the impact of climate on the whole of Niger (global basis) without taking into account the variabilities of climatic zones hides the particular sensitivities of each zones. This is the case of the Saharan zone, which is more sensitive to temperature than the other zones, which are more sensitive to rainfall. Also, the results reveals that the reduction in precipitation appears to be more harmful to farmers’ agricultural income than the increase in temperature. These results imply that the design of effective rural development programs and economic policies related to the fight against climate change, aimed at increasing household resilience, both in terms of adaptation and mitigation, must be done especially by taking into account the spatial variability of the impacts of climate change.

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