Сопоставление прогнозов развития мирового рынка нефти на среднесрочную и долгосрочную перспективы

Olga, Evseeva (2023): Сопоставление прогнозов развития мирового рынка нефти на среднесрочную и долгосрочную перспективы. Published in: Economics and Management: Problems, Solutions , Vol. 1, No. 8 (31 August 2023): pp. 75-88.

Abstract

The article analyzes and compares the forecasts of the development of the world oil market for the period up to 2040, made in 2022 and 2023 by BP oil Company, the International Energy Agency and OPEC, their main conclusions and scenario solutions obtained in the forecasts.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Comparison of forecasts for the development of the world oil market in the medium and long term
• Language: Russian
• Keywords: geopolitics, forecasting subjects, sanctions, scenarios, forecast, oil market, world oil demand, world oil supply, oil price, trends
• Subjects: Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q47 - Energy Forecasting

References

1. Chernavsky S.Ya. (2018) System forecasting: concept and tools // Bulletin of the Central Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences. Volume 1, Issue 4. (In Russ.).

2. BP. New strategy until 2030. URL: https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/news-and-insights/press-releases/from-international-oil-company-to-integrated-energy-company.pdf

3. Energy Outlook 2023. URL:https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/energy-outlook/bp-energy-outlook-2023.pdf

4. World Energy Outlook 2022. URL: https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2022

5. World Oil Outlook 2045. URL: https://www.opec.org/opec_web/static_files_project/media/downloads/publications/OPEC_WOO2022.pdf