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Muti-Scenarios Population Projection for Algeria using R

Flici, Farid (2020): Muti-Scenarios Population Projection for Algeria using R.

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In this manual, we present a methodology of doing a multi-scenarios population projections for Algeria using R. The methodology used consists of the Cohort-Component Method. A detailled methodology of doing mono-scenario population projection in R was already presented in Flici (2020). Here, mortality Scenarios are defined using the predictive intervals of a stochastic forecast, while the Fertility scenarios are expert-based. Here, 5 scenarios are simulated, the Age-Specific fertility rates are then defined using the Lee-Carter Model for fertility (Lee,1993).Later on, we shows how to make dynamic visualizations of the multi-scenario projections.

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