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Tourism development and Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis in ASEAN countries: New evidence from panel estimators robust to cross-sectional dependence

Ahmad, Mahyudin and Chen, Jen-Eem and Mohd Zulkifli, Shaliza Azreen and Tan, Yan-Ling and Mustofa, Moh. Solehatul (2024): Tourism development and Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis in ASEAN countries: New evidence from panel estimators robust to cross-sectional dependence.

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Abstract

Tourism development has become one of the key drivers of economic growth in many ASEAN countries, however, the adverse environmental impact of tourism and economic growth has raised significant concerns among the policymakers in region. This study investigates the role of tourism development in the context of Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis across 10 ASEAN countries over a 25-year period from 1995 to 2019 via panel estimators robust to cross-sectional dependence. The findings reveal tourism contributes to environmental degradation significantly. On the EKC hypothesis, the evidence is mixed as only the Panel Corrected Standard Errors estimation indicates an inverted U-shaped relationship between emissions and GDP per capita. The threshold value of GDP per capita is estimated to be around USD 12,000 showing that the current economic development in ASEAN is still harmful to environment. Furthermore, renewable energy is found to be a strong mitigating factor. Population size, on the other hand, is a significant driver of both CO2 and GHG emissions. The findings of this study highlight the complex relationship between tourism development, economic growth, and environmental quality in the ASEAN region. Subsequently, several policy implications are discussed

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