Ghassan, Hassan Belkacem and Krichene, Noureddine (2023): Theoretical and Analytical Approach of Financial Stability: Islamic Perspective. Published in: Turkish Journal of Islamic Economics No. DOI: 10.26414/A4148 (1 June 2024): pp. 1-36.
PDF
MPRA_paper_122963.pdf Download (245kB) |
|
PDF
MPRA_paper_122963.pdf Download (432kB) |
Abstract
This paper theoretically investigates financial stability and assesses the impacts of central bank policies on the banking system. The Islamic finance system has empirically shown relative stability to the waves of the 2007-2008 international financial crisis and reduced volatility of global financial markets. By using the sharing rule and stochastic dominance, we prove that the investor’s expected payoff in the stochastic return model is superior and falls between the expected payoffs of the investor and financier in the fixed return model, respectively. Financial instability can stem from banking and financial markets deviations, asset bubbles, and money market fluctuations. Current economic and financial theories, rooted in the risk-shifting and interest rate smoothing models, have proven inadequate. New principles are needed to address financial instability and mitigate the devastating impacts of financial crises. Western attempts to address financial instability will prove unattainable as long as they depend on banking interest and credit multiplier systems. From the Islamic economics paradigm, financial stability hinges on two key conditions: the prohibition of interest rates and the institutionalization of contractual finance in accordance with Islamic Shariah. We propose that synchronized (or desynchronized) interactions between financial and business cycles positively (or negatively) affect both the banking system and the real economic domain, leading to stable (or unstable) states. Given the financial system’s prohibition of interest rates and the real economy’s adherence to Shariah jurisprudence, we theoretically envisage that the series of procyclical and countercyclical behaviors of financial variables would contribute to improve the financial stability since the financial cycle is too close to real cycle.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Theoretical and Analytical Approach of Financial Stability: Islamic Perspective |
English Title: | Theoretical and Analytical Approach of Financial Stability: Islamic Perspective |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Financial stability, Synchronization, Financial cycle, Profit-Loss-Sharing finance, Shadow banking, Monetary policies, Policy reforms, Policy analysis. |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services |
Item ID: | 122963 |
Depositing User: | Professor Hassan Ghassan |
Date Deposited: | 25 Dec 2024 07:01 |
Last Modified: | 31 Dec 2024 17:12 |
References: | Allen, W., & Wood, G. (2006). Defining and achieving financial stability. Journal of Financial Stability 2(2), 152‐172. Arora, D., & Kashiramka, S. (2023). Are shadow banks a threat to the financial stability of EMEs? China Accounting and Finance Review 25(4), 488-512. Askari, H., & Krichene, N. (2016). 100 Percent Reserve Banking and the Path to a Single-Country Gold Standard. The Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics 19(1), 436–471. Askari, H., & Krichene, N. (2014). The gold standard anchored in Islamic finance. 1st Edition Palgrave Macmillan. Askari, H., Iqbal, Z., Krichene, N., & Mirakhor, A. (2010). The Stability of Islamic Finance: Creating a Resilient Financial Environment for a Secure Future. Wiley Finance, John Wiley & Sons (Asia) Pte. Ltd. Beck, Th., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Merrouche, O. (2013). Islamic vs. Conventional Banking Business: model, efficiency and stability. Journal of Banking & Finance 37(2), 433–447. Belouafi, A., Bourakba, C., & Saci, K. (2015). Islamic finance and financial stability: A review of the literature. In HA. El-Karanshawy et al. (Eds.): Financial stability and risk management in Islamic financial institutions. Doha, Qatar: Bloomsbury Qatar Foundation. Bengtsson, E. (2013). Shadow banking and financial stability: European money market funds in the global financial crisis. Journal of International Money and Finance 32, 579-594. Berger, AN., Boubakri, N., Guedhami O., & Li X. (2019). Liquidity creation performance and financial stability consequences of Islamic banking: Evidence from a multinational study. Journal of Financial Stability 44, 100692. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2019.100692 Borio, C., Drehmann, M., & Xia, FD. (2020). Forecasting recessions: the importance of the financial cycle. Journal of Macroeconomics 66, 103258. Borio, C. (2012). The financial cycle and macroeconomics: What have we learnt? BIS Working Papers No. 395, December. Borio, C. (2006). Monetary and financial stability: here to stay? Journal of Banking & Finance 30(12), 3407-3414. Bouguelli, R. (2020). Is shadow banking really akin to banking? A critical analysis in light of monetary theory. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 43(1), 1–27. Boyd, J., & Runkle, D. (1993). Size and performance of banking firms: Testing the predictions of theory. Journal of Monetary Economics 31(1), 47–67. Bry, G., & Boschan, Ch. (1971). Cyclical Analysis of Time Series: Selected Procedures and Computer Programs. NBER, New York. Carré, E., & Le Maux, L. (2022). Financial Instability and International-Lender-of-Last-Resort Theory from the Gold Standard to the Dollar System. Jahrbuch für Wirtschaftsgeschichte ‘Economic History Yearbook’ 63(2), 311–344. Carroll, CH. (1850s). Organization of Debt into Currency and Other Papers, Edited 1965 with an Introduction by Edward C. Simmons, D. Van Nostrand Company, Inc. Princeton, New Jersey. Celasun, O., & Harms, P. (2011). Boon or burden? The effect of private sector debt on the risk of sovereign default in developing countries. Economic Inquiry 49, 70–88. Chen, Y. (2022). Bank interconnectedness and financial stability: The role of bank capital. Journal of Financial Stability 61, 101019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2022.101019 Claessens, S., Kose, MA., & Terrones, ME. (2012). How do business and financial cycles interact? Journal of International Economics 87, 178-190. Dahlhaus, R., Kiss, IZ., & Neddermeyer, JC. (2018). On the Relationship between the Theory of Cointegration and the Theory of Phase Synchronization. Statistical Science 33(3), 334-357. https://doi.org/10.1214/18-STS659 Detzer, D., & Herr, H. (2014). Theories of financial crises: an overview. Working Paper, No. 32. Institute for International Political Economy Berlin. www.ipe-berlin.org Di Giorgio, G., & Rotondi, Z. (2011). Financial stability, interest-rate smoothing, and equilibrium determinacy. Journal of Financial Stability 7, 1-9. Fève, P., Moura, A., & Pierrard O. (2019). Shadow banking and financial regulation: A small scale DSGE perspective. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 101, 130-144. FSB. (2011). Shadow banking: Strengthening oversight and regulation – Recommendations of the Financial Stability Board. 27 October. Fisher, Irving. (1933). The Debt-Deflation Theory of Great Depressions. Econometrica 1(4), 337-357. Fitch Ratings. (2008). French asset management industry – dynamics and challenges. Fund & Asset Manager Rating Group. Available at: www.fitchratings.com Friedman, M. (1992) [1960]. A program for monetary stability. 10th Edition, with a new preface. New York: Fordham University Press. Friedman, M. (1969). The optimum quantity of money. In The Optimum Quantity of Money and other essays (pages 1-50). Chicago, IL: Aldine. Ghassan, HB., & Fachin, S. (2016). Time Series Analysis of Financial stability of banks: Evidence from Saudi Arabia. Review of Financial Economics 31, 3-17. Ghassan, HB., & Taher, FB. (2015). Financial Stability of Islamic and Conventional Banks in Saudi Arabia: Evidence from Pooled and Panel Models. Published in Book of Asutay A., and Turkistani AQ.: Islamic Finance: Risk, Stability and Growth (Volume 2, Chapter 3, pages 81-114), Gerlach Press. Available at http://www.jstor.org/stable/j.ctt1df4hmj Ghassan, HB., Taher, FB., & Adhailan, SS. (2011). The impacts of the International Financial Crisis on Saudi Arabia's Economy: SVAR model. Islamic Economic Studies 17(2), 1-34. (In Arabic). Goodhart, C. (2006). A Framework for Assessing Financial Stability? Journal of Banking and Finance 30(12), 3415-3422. Gouge, W. (1833). A Short History of Paper Money & Banking, New York, Augustus M. Kelley Publishers. Granville, B., & Mallick, S. (2009). Monetary and financial stability in the euro area: Pro-cyclicality versus trade-off. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money 19, 662-674. Grimm, M., Jordà, O., Schularick, M., & Taylor AM. (2023). Loose Monetary Policy and Financial Instability. NBER Working Paper No. 30958, February. Hallak, I. (2013). Private sector share of external debt and financial stability: Evidence from bank loans. Journal of International Money and Finance 32, 17-41. Hassan, MK., & Adebayo, RI. (2010). Ethical Principles of Islamic Financial Institutions. http://ebookbrowse.com/kabir-hassan-2010-doc-d302197597. Hassan, MK., & Lewis, M. (2007). Handbook of Islamic Banking. Edward Elgar Publishing, Inc, UK. Huang, J. (2018). Banking and shadow banking. Journal of Economic Theory 178, 124–152. Hume, D. (1752). Political Discourses. Edinburgh: Printed by R. Fleming, for A. Kincaid and A. Donaldson. Iqbal, M., & Llewellyn, D. (2002). Islamic banking and finance: a new perspective on profit-sharing and risk. Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham. United Kingdom. Iqbal, Z., & Mirakhor, A. (2011). An Introduction to Islamic Finance: Theory and Practice. 2nd edition, Wiley Finance. Istrefi, K., Odendahl, F., & Sestieri, G. (2023). Fed communication on financial stability concerns and monetary policy decisions: Revelations from speeches. Journal of Banking & Finance 151, 106820. Khan, F. (2010). How ‘Islamic’ is Islamic Banking? Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 76, 805–820. Krainer, ER. (2013). Towards a program for financial stability. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 85, 207–218. Kuanova, LA., Sagiyeva, R., & Shirazi, NS. (2021). Islamic social finance: a literature review and future research directions. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research 12(5), 707-728. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-11-2020-0356 Kuramoto, Y. (1975). Self-entrainment of a population of coupled non-linear oscillators. In International Symposium on Mathematical Problems in Theoretical Physics, volume 39 of Lecture Notes in Physics, pages 420–422. Springer-Verlag, New York. Large, A. (2003). Financial Stability: Maintaining Confidence in a complex world. In Bank of England, Financial Stability Review, December, 170‐174. Merton, RC. (1992). Continuous Time Finance. Revised edition, Wiley-Blackwell. Mian, A., & Sufi, A. (2018). Finance and Business Cycles: The Credit-Driven Household Demand Channel, Journal of Economic Perspectives 32(3), 31-58. Minsky, HP. (1992). The Financial Instability Hypothesis. Working Paper No. 74, Levy Economics Institute of Bard College, ten pages. Minsky, HP. (1986). Stabilizing an Unstable Economy, A Twentieth Century Fund Report, New Haven, CT, and London: Yale University Press. Mishkin, FS. (1999). Global financial instability: framework, events, issues. Journal of Economic Perspectives 13, 3-20. Mishkin, FS. (1997). The causes and propagation of financial instability: lessons for policymakers. Proceedings, Economic Policy Symposium, Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 55-96. Obstfeld, M., Shambaugh, JC., & Taylor, AM. (2008). Financial stability, the trilemma, and international reserves. NBER-WP14217. [Online] http://www.nber.org/papers/w14217 Poloz, SS. (2006). Financial stability: a worthy goal, but how feasible? Journal of Banking & Finance 30, 3423-3427. Reinhart, CM., & Rogoff KS. (2008). This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly. Working Paper 13882. [Online] http://www.nber.org/papers/w13882 Rothbard, MN. (1962). The Case for a 100 Percent Gold Dollar. In Leland Yeager, ed., In Search of a Monetary Constitution. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 94–136. Reprinted as The Case For a 100 Percent Gold Dollar, Washington, DC.: Libertarian Review Press, 1974, and Auburn, Ala.: Mises Institute, 1991, 2005. Rothschild, M., & Stiglitz, JE. (1971). Increasing Risk II: Its economic consequences. Journal of Economic Theory 3(1), 66-84. Rothschild, M., & Stiglitz, JE. (1970). Increasing Risk I: A definition. Journal of Economic Theory 2(3), 225-243. Schinasi, G. (2004). Defining Financial Stability. IMF Working Paper 04/187, October. Shaw, ES. (1973). Financial Deepening in Economic Development. Oxford University Press. Siddiqi, MN. (2007). Banking Without Interest. Publisher: New Era Pubns; Revised edition. Originally published in 1973. Siddiqi, MN. (2004). Riba, Bank Interest and Rational of its Prohibition. First Edition, Publisher: Islamic Research and Training Institute, Islamic Development Bank. Simons, HC. (1947). Economic Policy for a Free Society. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Smith, RT., & Van Egteren, H. (2005). Interest rate smoothing and financial stability. Review of Financial Economics 14, 147-171. SEC. (2009). Money market funds reform, 17 CFR Parts 270 and 274, Release No. IC-29132; File Nos. S7-11-09, S7-20-09, RIN 3235-AK33. Securities and Exchange Commission. Sriboonchita, S., Wong, WK., Dhompongsa, S., & Nguyen HT. (2009). Stochastic Dominance and Applications to Finance, Risk and Economics. Routledge Taylor & Francis Group. CRC Press. Stiglitz, JE., & Weiss, A. (1981). Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information. American Economic Review 71(3), 393-410. Wolfson, MH. (2002). Minsky’s Theory of Financial Crises in a Global Context. Journal of Economic Issues XXXVI (2), 393-400. Wolfson, MH. (1993). Financial Crises: Understanding the Postwar U.S. Experience. Publisher: Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group. Second edition, 284 pages. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/122963 |