Digitalisation, transition énergétique et croissance économique en Afrique du nord : une analyse Dynamique à l’Aide du modèle CS-ARDL

Amayed, Yassr (2025): Digitalisation, transition énergétique et croissance économique en Afrique du nord : une analyse Dynamique à l’Aide du modèle CS-ARDL.

Abstract

Cet article analyse l’impact de la digitalisation et de la transition énergétique sur la croissance économique en Afrique du Nord, dans une optique de développement durable. À l’aide du modèle CS-ARDL, il distingue les effets à court terme des ajustements dynamiques et met en évidence les relations structurelles à long terme découlant des investissements en capital fixe, de la consommation énergétique – qu’elle soit renouvelable ou non – et de l’adoption des technologies de l’information et de la communication (TIC). Les résultats montrent qu’à court terme, l’activité économique est principalement stimulée par les investissements productifs et la dépendance aux énergies fossiles. À long terme, l’intégration progressive des énergies renouvelables et l’amélioration des infrastructures numériques contribuent à une croissance plus inclusive et résiliente, en cohérence avec les Objectifs de développement durable. Par ailleurs, l’étude met en lumière d’importantes disparités structurelles et régionales, soulignant ainsi la nécessité de politiques publiques adaptées et coordonnées pour maximiser les synergies entre digitalisation et transition énergétique.

Abstract: The present article undertakes an analysis of the impact of digitalization and the energy transition on economic growth in North Africa, from the standpoint of sustainable development. Utilising the CS-ARDL model, it differentiates between short-term effects and dynamic adjustments, emphasising long-term structural relationships stemming from fixed capital investment, energy consumption (both renewable and non-renewable), and the adoption of information and communication technologies (ICT). The findings indicate that, in the short term, economic activity is predominantly driven by productive investment and reliance on fossil fuels. In the long term, the gradual integration of renewable energies and the enhancement of digital infrastructures contribute to more inclusive and resilient growth, in accordance with the sustainable development goals. Concurrently, the study accentuates substantial structural and regional disparities, thereby underscoring the necessity for suitable and coordinated public policies to optimize the synergies between digitalization and the energy transition.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Digitalization, energy transition and economic growth in north africa: a dynamic analysis using the CS-ARDL model
• Language: French
• Keywords: Mots-clés : Digitalisation, énergies renouvelables, TIC, transition énergétique, croissance économique, développement durable, Afrique du Nord, CS‑ARDL. Keywords: Digitalization, renewable energy, ICT, energy transition, economic growth, sustainable development, North Africa, CS-ARDL.
• Subjects: Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics

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