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Macroeconomic Transitions, Demographic Aging, and Labor Market Resilience: An Econometric Perspective

Katarzyna, Kowalska and Hannah, Müller and Marga, Nainggolan and Đặng, Kim (2024): Macroeconomic Transitions, Demographic Aging, and Labor Market Resilience: An Econometric Perspective.

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Abstract

This study investigates the interplay between demographic aging, macroeconomic transitions, and labor market resilience using a panel of countries over two decades. By integrating life expectancy, labor market outcomes, and key economic indicators, the analysis reveals that rising longevity positively influences labor force participation and economic growth, particularly when paired with strong educational systems and flexible institutions. However, without supportive labor regulations and health investment, gains in life expectancy may exacerbate informal employment and economic dependency. The findings highlight the critical role of policy in transforming demographic shifts into economic advantages. Econometric results underscore the need for coordinated strategies that align health, education, and employment systems to ensure resilience and inclusivity in the face of demographic transitions.

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