Chu, Angus C. (2025): Prehistoric shuttle dispersals in a Malthusian economy.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_126606.pdf Download (160kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Early humans undertook multiple waves of migration out of Africa and back to the continent. We explore prehistoric human migration in a two-region Malthusian growth model. Whether migration occurs depends on the migration cost, relative population size, relative land supply and relative hunting-gathering productivity between regions. Suppose one region is initially uninhabited. Then, a lower migration cost leads to migration and a larger human population. Back migration occurs when hunting-gathering productivity and supply of natural resources in the foreign region decrease relative to the home region, which provides an economic rationale for the multi-directional "shuttle dispersal model" of prehistoric human migration out of and back to Africa.
| Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
|---|---|
| Original Title: | Prehistoric shuttle dispersals in a Malthusian economy |
| Language: | English |
| Keywords: | Prehistoric human migration; Malthusian growth theory |
| Subjects: | O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O15 - Human Resources ; Human Development ; Income Distribution ; Migration O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O4 - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > O44 - Environment and Growth Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q56 - Environment and Development ; Environment and Trade ; Sustainability ; Environmental Accounts and Accounting ; Environmental Equity ; Population Growth |
| Item ID: | 126606 |
| Depositing User: | Prof. Angus C. Chu |
| Date Deposited: | 19 Nov 2025 04:36 |
| Last Modified: | 19 Nov 2025 04:36 |
| References: | Arbatli, C., Ashraf, Q., Galor, O., and Klemp, M., 2020. Diversity and conflict. Econometrica, 88, 727-797. Ashraf, Q., and Galor, O., 2011. Dynamics and stagnation in the Malthusian epoch. American Economic Review, 101, 2003-2041. Ashraf, Q., and Galor, O., 2013. The "Out of Africa" hypothesis, human genetic diversity, and comparative economic development. American Economic Review, 103, 1-46. Ashraf, Q., Galor, O., and Klemp, M., 2021. The ancient origins of the wealth of nations. Handbook of Historical Economics, chapter 22, 675-717. Brander, J. A., and Taylor, M. S., 1998. The simple economics of Easter Island: A Ricardo-Malthus model of renewable resource use. American Economic Review, 88, 119-138. Chu, A., 2023. Natural selection and Neanderthal extinction in a Malthusian economy. Journal of Population Economics, 36, 1641-1656. Chu, A., 2025a. Human brain evolution in a Malthusian economy. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2025, 29, e59. Chu, A., 2025b. Human Origins and Evolution in a Malthusian Economy. World Scientific Publishing. Chu, A., 2025c. A Malthusian model of hybridization in human evolution. MPRA Paper No. 126155. Chu, A., Peretto, P., and Furukawa, Y., 2024. Political fragmentation versus a unified empire in a Malthusian economy. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 222, 284-293. Collins, J., Baer, B., and Weber, E. J., 2014. Economic growth and evolution: Parental preference for quality and quantity of offspring. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 18, 1773-1796. Dalgaard, C.-J., and Strulik, H., 2015. The physiological foundations of the wealth of nations. Journal of Economic Growth, 20, 37-73. de la Croix, D., and Dottori, D., 2008. Easter Island's collapse: A tale of a population race. Journal of Economic Growth, 13, 27-55. Delventhal, M., 2019. The globe as a network: Geography and the origins of the world income distribution. 2019 Meeting Papers 840, Society for Economic Dynamics. Ehrlich, I., and Lui, F., 1997. The problem of population and growth: A review of the literature from Malthus to contemporary models of endogenous population and endogenous growth. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 21, 205-242. Galor, O., 2022. The Journey of Humanity: The Origins of Wealth and Inequality. Dutton. Galor, O., and Michalopoulos, S., 2012. Evolution and the growth process: Natural selection of entrepreneurial traits. Journal of Economic Theory, 147, 759-780. Galor, O., and Moav, O., 2002. Natural selection and the origin of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117, 1133-1191. Galor, O., and Ozak, O., 2016. The agricultural origins of time preference. American Economic Review, 106, 3064-3103. Hu, W., Hao, Z., Du, P., Di Vincenzo, F., Manzi, G., Cui, J., Fu, Y.-X., Pan, Y.-H., and Li, H., 2023. Genomic inference of a severe human bottleneck during the Early to Middle Pleistocene transition. Science, 381, 979-984. Ikhenaode, B. I., and Parello, C. P., 2024. Migration, technology diffusion, and growth. Oxford Economic Papers, 76, 837-858. Lagerlof, N.-P., 2007. Long-run trends in human body mass. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 11, 367-387. Lagerlof, N.-P., 2014. Population, technology and fragmentation: The European miracle revisited. Journal of Development Economics, 108, 87-105. Lagerlof, N.-P., 2021. Eurasian migration: A simulation. Mimeo, York University. Lopez, S., Van Dorp, L., and Hellenthal, G., 2015. Human dispersal out of Africa: A lasting debate. Evolutionary Bioinformatics, 11s2. doi:10.4137/EBO.S33489 Malthus, T.R., 1798. An Essay on the Principle of Population. Oxford World's Classics. Ni, X., Ji, Q., Wu, W., Shao, Q., Ji, Y., Zhang, C., Liang, L., Ge, J., Guo, Z., Li, J., Li, Q., Grun, R., and Stringer, C., 2021. Massive cranium from Harbin in northeastern China establishes a new Middle Pleistocene human lineage. The Innovation, 2, 100130. Parello, C. P., 2022. Migration and growth in a Schumpeterian growth model with creative destruction. Oxford Economic Papers, 74, 1139-1166. Parello, C. P., 2025. Temporary migration, indeterminacy and growth. Economic Modelling, 149, 107112. Wood, B., 2011. Did early Homo migrate "out of" or "in to" Africa? Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 108, 10375-10376. |
| URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/126606 |

