تأثیر سرمایه اجتماعی بر مطالبات بانکی از بخش خصوصی و دولتی با تأکید بر کارآیی مخارج دولت

Roudari, Soheil and Homayounifar, Masoud and Salimifar, Mostafa (2020): تأثیر سرمایه اجتماعی بر مطالبات بانکی از بخش خصوصی و دولتی با تأکید بر کارآیی مخارج دولت. Published in: Journal of Economic Research (Growth and Sustainable Development) , Vol. 21, No. 1 (17 April 2021): pp. 1-28.

Abstract

This study examines the impact of social capital—through its effect on government expenditure efficiency—alongside the exchange rate, stock market index, and oil revenues on banking system claims on the public and private sectors. The analysis covers the period 2005:Q1 to 2018:Q2 using quarterly data and the Three Stage Least Squares (3SLS) approach. The results indicate that social capital, by enhancing the efficiency of government expenditures, exerts a negative and significant effect on bank claims on both the public and private sectors. The exchange rate has a negative and significant effect on bank claims on the public sector, while it shows a positive and significant effect on claims on the private sector. The stock market index has no significant impact on banking claims on either sector, which may stem from the relatively limited role of the stock market in financing businesses in Iran and its insufficient depth. Moreover, economic growth has a negative and significant effect on banking claims on both sectors, likely through improving business conditions and increasing individuals’ purchasing power, which in turn strengthens their ability to repay loans. Therefore, by stabilizing the economy (limiting large fluctuations in the exchange rate, stock index, etc.) and improving social capital, one can expect enhanced government expenditure efficiency and a subsequent decline in banking system claims on both the public and private sectors

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: The Impact of Social Capital on Bank Claims on the Private and Public Sectors with an Emphasis on Government Expenditure Efficiency
• Language: Persian
• Keywords: Oil revenues, exchange rate, stock market index, bank claims, 3SLS model
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C2 - Single Equation Models ; Single Variables > C22 - Time-Series Models ; Dynamic Quantile Regressions ; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models ; Diffusion Processes; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E20 - General; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit > E51 - Money Supply ; Credit ; Money Multipliers; F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange

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