Verheliuk, Yuliia (2025): Management of Guaranteed Debt: Shortcomings and Ways for Improvement. Published in: Economic Journal of Lesya Ukrainka Volyn National University , Vol. 3, No. 43 (31 October 2025): pp. 88-95.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_127545.pdf Download (636kB) | Preview |
Abstract
State-guaranteed debt arises from borrowings by economic entities for the implementation of infrastructure projects under state guarantees, which offers advantages provided there is effective control and minimal corruption risks. However, the imperfection of Ukraine’s practice in managing guaranteed debt leads to an increase in residents’ indebtedness, which transforms into guaranteed debt, while a significant portion of projects remains unimplemented, highlighting the need for improving the monitoring system.
To assess the role of state-guaranteed debt within Ukraine’s system of obligations, with an emphasis on the challenges of managing and providing state guarantees.
The research is based on a normative analysis of the legislative framework, statistical methods for assessing trends in guaranteed debt, and theoretical methods for generalizing the fundamental principles of managing guaranteed debt and the process of providing state guarantees.
State-guaranteed debt constitutes a contingent liability that arises due to the inability of residents to fulfill debt obligations obtained under state guarantees. The absence of a clear methodology for assessing the creditworthiness of economic entities, a specialized management body, and transparent project selection procedures increases corruption risks and threatens debt security. International experience confirms that ineffective management of guaranteed debt leads to a crowding-out effect on investments, hindering economic development. Inadequate control over the use of loans exacerbates the financial burden on the state budget. This necessitates a revision of approaches to providing guarantees to ensure their effectiveness.
The shortcomings in the management of guaranteed debt in Ukraine, particularly the lack of transparency and creditworthiness assessment, create fiscal risks. There is a need to improve legislation, project selection procedures, and establish a specialized body to enhance efficiency and strengthen debt security. Further research should focus on developing clear criteria for assessing borrowers’ solvency and creating a specialized body for managing guaranteed debt to reduce corruption risks and increase the effectiveness of state guarantees.
| Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
|---|---|
| Original Title: | Management of Guaranteed Debt: Shortcomings and Ways for Improvement |
| English Title: | Management of Guaranteed Debt: Shortcomings and Ways for Improvement |
| Language: | English |
| Keywords: | state-guaranteed debt, state guarantees, debt security, debt management, investment projects, economic development |
| Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook > E62 - Fiscal Policy F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F34 - International Lending and Debt Problems G - Financial Economics > G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance > G38 - Government Policy and Regulation H - Public Economics > H6 - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt > H63 - Debt ; Debt Management ; Sovereign Debt |
| Item ID: | 127545 |
| Depositing User: | Dr Yuliia Verheliuk |
| Date Deposited: | 03 Mar 2026 05:47 |
| Last Modified: | 03 Mar 2026 05:47 |
| References: | 1. Biudzhetnyi kodeks Ukrainy vid 08.07.2010 № 2456-VI [Budget Code of Ukraine of July 8, 2010 №. 2456-VI]. https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/2456-17#Text [in Ukrainian]. 2. Borhova stiikist derzhavnykh finansiv / za red. T. I. Yefymenko, S. A. Yerokhina, T. P. Bohdan [Debt Sustainability of Public Finances / ed. by T. I. Yefymenko, S. A. Yerokhina, T. P. Bohdan]. Kyiv: DNNU 'Akademiia finansovoho upravlinnia', 2014. https://afu.kyiv.ua/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/01-53_bsdf.pdf [in Ukrainian]. 3. Indeks spryiniattia koruptsii — 2024. Transparensi Interneshnl Ukraina [Corruption Perceptions Index — 2024. Transparency International Ukraine]. https://ti-ukraine.org/research/indeks-spryjnyattya-koruptsiyi-2024/ [in Ukrainian]. 4. Pro derzhavnu dopomohu sub'iektam hospodariuvannia: Zakon Ukrainy vid 01.07.2014 № 1555-VII [On State Aid to Business Entities: Law of Ukraine №. 1555-VII of July 1, 2014]. https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/1555-18#Text [in Ukrainian]. 5. Pro zatverdzhennia Poriadku vidboru investytsiinykh proektiv, dlia realizatsii yakykh nadaiet’sia derzhavna pidtrymka: Postanova KMU vid 13.11.2013 № 835 [On Approval of the Procedure for Selection of Investment Projects for State Support: CMU Resolution №. 835 of November 13, 2013]. https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/835-2013-%D0%BF#Text [in Ukrainian]. 6. Posadnieva, O., & Berezynska, M. (2024). Vplyv harantovanoho derzhavoiu borhu na prohnozni pokaznyky derzhavnoho biudzhetu Ukrainy [Impact of State-Guaranteed Debt on Forecast Indicators of the State Budget of Ukraine]. Stalyi rozvytok ekonomiky, (3(50), 296–303. https://doi.org/10.32782/2308-1988/2024-50-44 [in Ukrainian]. 7. Derzhavnyi borh ta harantovanyi derzhavoiu borh. Statystyka MFU [State and State-Guaranteed Debt. Ministry of Finance Statistics]. https://mof.gov.ua/uk/derzhavnij-borg-ta-garantovanij-derzhavju-borg [in Ukrainian]. 8. Hantsiak, M. O. (2022). Kliuchovi determinanty stanu rynku derzhavnoho borhu Ukrainy v doviennyi period [Key determinants of the public debt market state of Ukraine in the pre-war period]. Naukovi zapysky Natsionalnoho universytetu 'Ostrozka akademiia'. Seriia 'Ekonomika', 26(54), 65–70. https://doi.org/10.25264/2311-5149-2022-26(54)-65-70 [in Ukrainian]. 9. Pro zatverdzhennia Poriadku pohodzhennia zaluchennia derzhavnymy pidpryiemstvamy kredytiv (pozyk): Postanova KMU № 809 vid 15.06.2011 [On Approval of the Procedure for Approval of Borrowings by State Enterprises: CMU Resolution № 809 of June 15, 2011]. https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/809-2011-%D0%BF#Text [in Ukrainian]. 10. Ohdanska, O. D., & Makarenko, V. M. (2019). Analiz stanu ta dynamiky derzhavnoho borhu Ukrainy [Analysis of the State and Dynamics of Ukraine’s Public Debt]. Ekonomika. Finansy. Pravo, (12). http://efp.in.ua/uk/journal-article/256 [in Ukrainian]. 11. Kuzheleiev, M. O. (2023). Derzhavnyi ta harantovanyi borh Ukrainy: osoblyvosti upravlinnia pid chas viiny [State and State-Guaranteed Debt of Ukraine: Management Features During the War]. Finansovi instrumenty staloho rozvytku derzhavy, 36–39. https://www.researchgate.net/.../Strategicni-pidhodi. [in Ukrainian]. 12. Hantsiak, M. (2022). Suchasnyi stan zaluchennia finansuvannia biudzhetnoho defitsytu na rynku derzhavnykh borhovykh tsinnykh paperiv Ukrainy [Сurrent state of attracting budget deficit financing on the market of state debt securities of Ukraine]. Ekonomika ta suspilstvo, (44). https://doi.org/10.32782/2524-0072/2022-44-17 [in Ukrainian]. 13. Lyshe polovina top kompanii u sferi transportu ta lohistyky otrymaly prybutok toryk [Only Half of Top Transport and Logistics Companies Made a Profit Last Year]. Opendatabot. 2025. https://opendatabot.ua/analytics/index-transport-and-mail-2025 [in Ukrainian]. 14. Ukrzaliznytsia prohnozuie 22 mlrd hrn zbytkiv i natiakaie na pidvyshchennia taryfiv [Ukrzaliznytsia Forecasts UAH 22 Billion in Losses and Hints at Tariff Increases]. Komersant Ukrainskyi. 2025. https://www.komersant.info/ukrzaliznytsia-prohnozuie-22-mlrd-hrn-zbytkiv-i-natiakaie-na-pidvyshchennia-taryfiv/ [in Ukrainian]. 15. Kolosova, V. (2024). Rol investytsiinykh kredytiv mizhnarodnykh finansovykh instytutiv u vidnovlenni ta vidbudovi Ukrainy [The Role of Investment Loans from International Financial Institutions in Ukraine’s Recovery and Reconstruction]. NISD. https://niss.gov.ua/doslidzhennya/mizhnarodni-vidnosyny/rol-investytsiynykh-kredytiv-mizhnarodnykh-finansovykh [in Ukrainian]. 16. Kolosova, V. P. (2020). Shchodo pokrashchennia vykorystannia Ukrainoiu kredytnykh resursiv mizhnarodnykh finansovykh orhanizatsii [On Improving Ukraine’s Use of Credit Resources from International Financial Organizations]. Analitychna zapyska, (10). https://niss.gov.ua/sites/default/files/2020-03/kolosova-1_0.pdf [in Ukrainian]. 17. Omosuyi, O. (2024). Public and Publicly Guaranteed External Debt, Debt Servicing and Investment in Emerging Economies. Economic Annals, 69(240), 31–56. https://doi.org/10.2298/EKA2440031O |
| URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/127545 |

