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The Health Costs of Civil Conflict

Crippa, Andrea and d'Agostino, Giorgio and Dunne, J. Paul and Pieroni, Luca and Tian, Nan (2026): The Health Costs of Civil Conflict.

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Abstract

This paper considers the health consequences of civil conflict . It undertakes a cross-national analysis of the World Health Organisation's (WHO)'s disability-adjusted life years (DALY) dataset for 2020. The log of the DALYs is regressed on measures of conflict experience over the ten previous years, allowing for political and economic factors and spillovers from neighbour’s conflicts. This is done by using a non linear model and principal components estimation procedures. Substantial and significant effects are found. This supports earlier notions that civil war disproportionally affects children and young people. Robustness checks are made for different measurements of conflict experience, reflecting conflict intensity and persistence and these strengthen the conclusion that the legacy costs of a civil conflict are substantial and longlasting.

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