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Lebanon: The Sovereign Production Path

Chahine, Marie (2026): Lebanon: The Sovereign Production Path.

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Abstract

This study explores strategic pathways for transitioning the Lebanese economy from a fragile, import-dependent rentier model to a sovereign production-based framework. The research presents a five-year comprehensive strategic plan (2026–2030) centered on domestic financing, the activation of productive sectors, and the implementation of a rigorous four-party governance system to secure the national sovereign wealth fund. ​Central to this transformation is the development of a unique mathematical model: the Total Sovereign Harmony Equation (TUSH). This equation—S = A \cdot \int \frac{Z + G \cdot L}{E} \, dt—integrates philosophical logic (Aristotle’s Constant), structural reform (Riemann Function), resource geometry (Einstein Tensor), domestic liquidity (Cosmological Constant), and innovation efficiency (Edison Factor). ​Quantitative objectives for 2030 include increasing productive sectors' contribution to 30% of GDP, neutralizing the USD through a 30% barter system in local currency, and achieving a 50% annual growth in exports. The research concludes that restoring Lebanon's economic sovereignty is a structural necessity achievable through the integration of scientific logic, digital systems, and resource engineering.

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